Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Forecast, 7/30/2025 WNBA Selection, Advice and Odds

Home » Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Forecast, 7/30/2025 WNBA Selection, Advice and Odds

Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Broadcast: WNBA League Pass

The Indiana Fever (14-12) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (16-9) this Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

In their previous game, the Phoenix Mercury secured a victory against the Washington Mystics, winning 88-72. The Mercury recorded a shooting percentage of 51.5% (35 of 68) and made 5 of their 21 attempts from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, they excelled, hitting 13 of 14 shots for an impressive 92.9%. On the boards, they managed 33 rebounds, with 6 being offensive. They also provided 22 assists while committing 17 turnovers and snatching 10 steals. Defensively, Phoenix held Washington to a shooting percentage of 38.1% (24 of 63). The Mystics dished out 9 assists and collected 8 steals, along with 32 rebounds (9 offensive, 23 defensive) and 2 blocked shots. Washington was also effective from the free throw line, shooting an impressive 86.4% by converting 19 of 22 attempts, while making 5 of 16 three-pointers.

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A standout performer in the last game was Alyssa Thomas, who scored 27 points on 12-of-17 shooting. She contributed significantly, playing 33 minutes, collecting 11 rebounds, and providing 8 assists, achieving a remarkable shooting percentage of 70.6%.

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Phoenix holds a record of 16-9 this season. They average 12.5 turnovers per game and commit 18.7 fouls on average. As a unit, the Mercury are pulling in 34.2 rebounds per game and have recorded 525 assists this season, ranking 4th in the WNBA for assists. They convert 33.8% of their three-point attempts (242 of 716) and have a free throw success rate of 77.3%. Averaging 83.1 points per game puts them 6th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 43.3%. Defensively, the Mercury force opponents into 15.5 turnovers a game and draw 16.9 personal fouls, conceding 16 assists on average, which ranks them 8th in the league. Their opponents shoot 42.4% from the field against them and they allow an average of 35.3 rebounds, while holding rivals to a 33.4% three-point shooting rate and 79.8 points per game, ranking 5th in the league.

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In their last outing, the Indiana Fever achieved a commanding 93-78 win over the Chicago Sky. The Fever tallied 22 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for 29 total rebounds. They turned the ball over 11 times, while collecting an impressive 15 steals. The Sky committed 18 fouls, allowing the Fever to make 16 free throw attempts, successfully converting all of them for a perfect 100.0% from the line. Indiana also made 11 of 29 three-point attempts, reflecting a success rate of 37.9%. Overall, they shot 33 of 70 from the field, resulting in a field goal percentage of 47.1%. The Fever limited the Sky to 28 makes out of 65 attempts, yielding a 43.1% shooting percentage. Chicago shot 40.0% from beyond the arc, hitting 10 of their 25 attempts, and finished 12 of 14 from the free throw line (85.7%). On the boards, Indiana allowed Chicago 32 total rebounds, with 7 coming from the offensive end.

Kelsey Mitchell made a significant impact for the Fever, scoring 35 points with a field goal percentage of 63.2% (12 of 19) while also contributing 2 rebounds and 6 assists during her 30 minutes on the court.

The Fever currently have a 14-12 record this season. They have amassed 2,194 points, averaging 84.4 points per game, and grab 33.7 rebounds per game. Indiana commits 19.3 fouls per game and boasts a free throw percentage of 77.1%. Offensively, they rank 4th in the WNBA, shooting 45.4% from the field, and averaging 20.2 assists per game (7th in the league) while turning the ball over 12.9 times. Defensively, they rank 8th in points allowed per game, giving up 80.4. They force 13.8 turnovers on average and allow opponents a shooting % of 43.0% (8th in the league). Indiana’s defense also holds opponents to 31.5% on three-pointers (185 of 588) and allows 77.7% of free throw attempts. They concede 18.2 assists and 33.2 rebounds per game, ranking them 2nd and 4th in the WNBA, respectively.

Which team will come out on top in tonight’s WNBA showdown against the spread?

Expert Pick by Tony Sink: Back Phoenix

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