Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx
Date: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
TV: YouTube TV
The upcoming match at Target Center features the Minnesota Lynx (19-4) squaring off against the Phoenix Mercury (15-6) this Wednesday.
In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury faced the Golden State Valkyries and emerged victorious with a narrow score of 78-77. Phoenix achieved a field goal percentage of 47.4% (27 of 57) and hit 12 out of 29 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, the Mercury converted 12 of 19 shots, translating to a 63.2% success rate. They secured a total of 35 rebounds, including 3 offensive boards, and facilitated 23 assists while forcing 9 turnovers and recording 6 steals. On defense, Phoenix limited Golden State to a shooting percentage of 33.8% on 25 of 74 shots. The Valkyries managed 11 assists and 7 steals in their effort, gathering 36 rebounds (11 offensive and 25 defensive) and finishing with 1 block. Golden State shot 86.7% from the charity stripe, sinking 13 of 15 attempts, while converting 14 of 33 three-point shots.
DeWanna Bonner played a pivotal role in Phoenix’s recent game, scoring 22 points on 7 of 8 shooting while also grabbing 11 rebounds in just 29 minutes. Bonner finished an impressive 87.5% from the field and registered 2 assists.
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The Mercury enter this matchup with a solid record of 15-6 this season. They average 84.2 points per game, ranking 4th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 43.6%. Phoenix is shooting 34.8% from three-point range (212 of 609) and 78.3% from the free-throw line. As a team, they are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game and have tallied 442 assists this season, good for 3rd in the WNBA. They average 12.7 turnovers per game and commit 18.9 fouls each night. Defensively, the Mercury force an average of 15.9 turnovers per game while allowing 79.3 points per game (ranked 5th in the league). They permit a shooting percentage of 42.2% (333 of 360) and average 35.0 rebounds per game. Their defensive strategy has led to a total of 407 assists given up this season, placing them 6th in the league.
In their last performance, the Minnesota Lynx bested the Chicago Sky with a final score of 91-78. The Lynx pulled in 34 rebounds, with 25 defensive and 9 offensive boards. They had 10 turnovers in the game while achieving 14 steals. The Sky were called for 18 personal fouls, prompting 16 free throw attempts for the Lynx, of which they converted 13 for an 81.3% free-throw percentage. From three-point territory, Minnesota scored 12 out of 32 attempts (37.5%). Overall, they shot 46.5% from the field, converting 33 of 71 shots, while the Sky managed 29 of 60 attempts for a shooting percentage of 48.3%. Minnesota allowed the Sky to shoot 43.8% from distance, making 7 of 16 attempts, and finished at the charity stripe with 13 out of 16 made shots (81.3%). In terms of rebounding, Minnesota allowed Chicago to collect 34 rebounds overall, including 7 offensive boards.
Napheesa Collier was a standout for the Lynx, scoring 29 points by hitting 7 of 14 shots for a 50.0% success rate, along with 3 rebounds and 5 assists during her 36 minutes on the court.
Minnesota boasts an impressive 19-4 record this season. The Lynx average 16.9 fouls per game and shoot an impressive 80.5% from the free-throw line. They lead the league with 23.7 assists per game and register 12.4 turnovers per game. This season, Minnesota has accumulated 1,953 points, averaging 84.9 points per game, alongside 33.7 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side, the Lynx have an impressive shooting percentage of 45.9%, ranking 2nd in the WNBA. Defensively, they are the top team in the league, allowing only 75.3 points per game. They give up an average of 18.0 assists and 34.7 total rebounds per game, placing them 2nd and 8th in those respective categories. Opponents are shooting 30.1% from beyond the arc against Minnesota, and 79.3% from the free-throw line. The Lynx force an average of 14.6 turnovers per game and have held opponents to a 41.5% shooting rate, ranking 3rd overall in the league.
What’s tonight’s parlay prediction?
Parlay Pundit’s Pick: Bet on Minnesota
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