Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Analysis, 8/17/2025 WNBA Forecast, Insights and Odds

Home » Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm Analysis, 8/17/2025 WNBA Forecast, Insights and Odds

Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA

Broadcast: WNBA League Pass

On Sunday, the Seattle Storm (16-17) will face off against the Phoenix Mercury (19-12) at the Climate Pledge Arena.

In their previous game, the Phoenix Mercury were defeated by the Atlanta Dream with a final score of 74-66. The Mercury finished the match shooting 34.8% from the field (24 out of 69) and made 6 of 23 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they succeeded with 12 out of 14 shots for an impressive 85.7%. They secured a total of 34 rebounds, including 9 offensive boards, and tallied 16 assists while forcing 10 turnovers and achieving 6 steals. Defensively, Phoenix allowed their opponents to shoot 38.5% from the floor, with Atlanta connecting on 25 of 65 attempts. The Dream recorded 9 assists and 11 steals, along with grabbing 38 rebounds (9 offensive, 29 defensive), while also registering 6 blocks. Atlanta shot 78.9% from the charity stripe, converting 15 of 19 attempts, and made 9 of 32 three-point attempts.

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Alyssa Thomas stood out during this game, scoring 21 points on 9 of 14 shooting. Playing for 34 minutes, she accumulated 8 rebounds and dished out 5 assists, finishing the match with a shooting percentage of 64.3%.

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The Phoenix Mercury enter this matchup with a solid season record of 19-12. The team is shooting 33.4% from three-point range (284 of 850) and maintaining a free-throw percentage of 78.7%. Averaging 83.1 points per game (6th in the WNBA), they have an overall field goal percentage of 43.2%. They commit an average of 12.6 turnovers per game and are called for 18.4 fouls on average. Phoenix rebounds at a rate of 34.6 boards per game and ranks 8th in the league with a total of 640 assists this season. On the defensive front, the Mercury force opponents into 15.1 turnovers per game while committing 17.0 personal fouls. They concede an opponent shooting percentage of 42.1% (469 of 528) and allow 35.4 rebounds per game, ranking 3rd in the league for fewest assists allowed at 608. They limit opponents to 32.9% shooting from three-point range and are 4th in the league for points allowed per game at 79.5.

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In their last outing, the Seattle Storm lost to the Atlanta Dream, finishing with a score of 85-75. The Storm collected 20 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards for a total of 26 rebounds in that contest. They turned the ball over 6 times and recorded 7 steals. The Dream committed 13 personal fouls, allowing the Storm to attempt 13 free throws, of which they made 7 at a rate of 53.8%. Seattle shot 41.9% from the field, making 31 out of 74 shots, while the Dream converted 31 of 63 shots for 49.2%. The Storm’s three-point shooting was 35.3%, hitting 6 of 17 attempts, and they finished 11 of 15 at the charity stripe (73.3%). Seattle allowed Atlanta to grab a total of 42 rebounds (9 offensive).

Nneka Ogwumike had a significant impact for the Storm in this match, scoring 29 points with a shooting percentage of 56.5% (13 of 23) and grabbing 9 rebounds, along with 4 assists in her 36 minutes of play.

Currently, the Seattle Storm hold a record of 16-17 this season. As an offensive unit, they are shooting 44.8% from the field, ranking 5th in the league. The Storm have accumulated a total of 2,697 points (81.7 points per game) and average 31.5 rebounds per game. They assist teammates at a rate of 21.5 times per game (3rd in the WNBA) and average 11.8 turnovers. Seattle commits an average of 17.5 fouls per game and shoots 77.7% from the free-throw line. Defensively, the Storm rank 5th in the WNBA for points allowed per game at 80.0, with an average of 19.5 assists and 36.0 rebounds surrendered each game, ranking 6th and 11th, respectively. The Seattle defense allows opponents to shoot 33.8% on three-pointers (246 of 728) and permits 78.7% free throw shooting. They force an average of 15.0 turnovers per game while letting teams shoot 43.8% from the floor (8th in the WNBA).

What are tonight’s parlay predictions?

Parlay’s Expert Recommendation: Back Seattle

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