Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes Fight Predictions and Odds for UFC Vegas 114 on 03/14/2026

• Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
• UFC Vegas 114
• Meta APEX in Las Vegas
• Saturday, March 14, 2026

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Piera Rodriguez is set to face Sam Hughes at UFC Vegas 114 on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The odds currently favor Rodriguez at -155, while Hughes is positioned at +135.

Piera “La Fiera” Rodriguez aims to enhance her record to 12-2-0. At 33 years old, she weighs in at 115 lbs and stands at 5’3″. As an orthodox fighter, Rodriguez has a reach of 63 inches. Sam “Sampage” Hughes, also 33, stands 5’5″ and has the same weight of 115 lbs. Hughes is looking to improve her record to 12-6-0 and has a reach of 64 inches. In terms of striking, Rodriguez connects at a rate of 3.54 significant strikes per minute, while Hughes lands 4.34. Rodriguez has a striking accuracy of 47%, compared to 46% for Hughes. On the defense side, Rodriguez absorbs 2.81 significant strikes per minute, whereas Hughes allows 4.44. Rodriguez successfully defends against 55% of significant strikes thrown against her, while Hughes defends 58%.

In terms of grappling, Piera Rodriguez excels with an impressive takedown rate of 4.53 times per 15 minutes, successfully bringing opponents to the mat on 54% of her attempts and defending against 73% of opponent takedowns. In contrast, Hughes secures takedowns on 35% of her attempts and stops 60% of those aimed at her. Rodriguez also leads in submission attempts, averaging 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds, while Hughes attempts 0.2 submissions in the same span.

In her last fight, Piera Rodriguez faced Ketlen Souza, winning via a split decision after the third round. Souza landed 86 of 139 total strikes, while Rodriguez managed 81 of 171. In terms of significant strikes, Souza connected on 56 of 103, achieving a 54% accuracy, with 29 of 72 aimed at the head. Rodriguez, on the other hand, landed 64 of 150 significant strikes, translating to 42% accuracy, with 28 of 92 directed at the head. Notably, 85% of Souza’s and 75% of Rodriguez’s significant strikes were executed at a distance.

In her previous bout, Sam Hughes went head-to-head with Shauna Bannon, clinching a victory via rear-naked choke in the second round. Bannon connected on 92% of significant strikes from distance, while Hughes managed only 19%. During the fight, Hughes landed 21 of 46 total significant strikes, achieving 45% accuracy, with 19 of 43 aimed at the head. Bannon, in comparison, landed 13 of 38 strikes, with 5 of 20 landing on the head. The total strikes thrown in the fight showed Bannon at 42 of 68 and Hughes at 55 of 84.

Noteworthy Fights to Watch

One exciting matchup to keep an eye on features Josh Emmett squaring off against Kevin Vallejos. Emmett aims to improve his record to 20-6-0 and is 41 years old, weighing 145 lbs and standing at 5’6″. With a reach of 70 inches, he faces Vallejos, who stands 5’7″ and weighs 145 lbs, holding a record of 17-1-0 at just 24 years old with a 68-inch reach. In terms of grappling, Emmett executes takedowns 1.08 times per 3 rounds, while Vallejos takes opponents down 0.71 times per 15 minutes. For striking, Emmett lands about 3.72 strikes per minute with an accuracy rate of 35%, while Vallejos connects on 5.78 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 46%.

Another must-see fight features SuYoung You going up against Elijah Smith. Smith holds a record of 9-1-0, weighing in at 135 lbs and standing at 5’9″ with a reach of 71 inches. You, also weighing 135 lbs, is 5’6″ and holds a record of 16-3-0 (2 NC). Smith boasts a wrestling presence, thwarting 57% of takedown attempts against him while scoring takedowns on 53% of his endeavors. You manages takedowns on 47% of attempts and averts 66% of opponent takedowns. Striking stats reveal Smith absorbs 3.40 strikes per minute while delivering 4.45, whereas You takes in 1.96 strikes per minute while outputting 2.28.

Who will dominate in tonight’s UFC combat?

Pick: Piera Rodriguez (-155)