- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+172) Atlanta (-210)
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On Saturday, the Atlanta Braves (75-84) will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-89) at Truist Park. The betting odds highlight Pittsburgh at +172 while Atlanta is positioned at -210. The over/under total is set at 9 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers are Bubba Chandler and Spencer Strider.
The Pirates have accumulated 241 doubles this season and have sent 113 balls over the outfield fence. With a slugging percentage of .350, they have struck out 1,383 times and earned 519 walks. On average, the Pirates are scoring 3.6 runs per game, placing them at the bottom of the league. They have recorded 548 RBIs alongside 1,211 total hits, yielding a team batting average of .231. Pittsburgh has crossed the plate 569 times this year with a .305 on-base percentage.
The Pirates possess a team ERA of 3.80, ranking 7th in the league, while striking out 1,278 batters. Their pitching staff has released 150 home runs and given up 635 total runs, placing them 6th in the league. With 463 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.86. Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 1,238 hits, averaging 8.0 hits per nine innings, resulting in 589 earned runs. They maintain a K/BB ratio of 2.76, with a WHIP of 1.22.
Pirates relievers have completed save opportunities at a 57.4% rate, entering games in 135 save situations. Of the inherited runners, 35.8% have scored. This season, they have pitched in 141 situations with runners on base and appeared in 157 high-leverage instances. With 498 relievers used, Pittsburgh has notched 71 holds this season (27th in MLB). They have completed 35 saves but missed the mark 26 times out of 61 opportunities.
Pittsburgh has converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs over 12,570 innings, ranking 8th in MLB. They have made 4,190 putouts, 1,306 assists, and 75 errors this year. The team’s fielding percentage of .987 places them 11th in the majors, along with 115 double plays turned.
Bubba Chandler has pitched for 25 innings, accumulating 25 strikeouts throughout his career. Sporting a 3-1 record, Chandler has a FIP of 4.57 after facing 103 big league hitters. He has a 4.64 ERA (13 earned runs allowed) with a career WHIP of 0.992, surrendering 21 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and issuing 4 walks.
On the other hand, Atlanta has launched 187 home runs this season and accumulated 694 RBIs. The Braves have hit 238 doubles, drawn 566 walks, and scored 716 runs. Atlanta holds a .321 on-base percentage and a .246 batting average for the year. Their team slugging percentage is .400, averaging 4.50 runs per game, positioning them 13th in the league. They have struck out 1,343 times (13th in MLB) and achieved 1,330 hits.
The Braves’ pitching corps has surrendered 721 runs this season, with a 4.36 ERA (683 earned runs). They have permitted 193 home runs and yield an average of 4.60 runs per nine innings, ranking 20th in the league. Atlanta’s WHIP is 1.303, and they have a FIP of 4.20 throughout the season. The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (1,391 strikeouts against 520 walks), placing them 20th in MLB for hits allowed with 1,318.
Atlanta’s relief pitchers have seen a score percentage of 39.0% from 213 inherited runners. This year, they have been called into high-pressure situations 167 times and have pitched with runners aboard on 157 occasions. They have faced 126 save situations, recording 72 holds and blowing 21 saves, resulting in a save rate of 61.1%, ranking 20th in MLB, and having used 510 bullpen pitchers.
Throughout 12,699 innings, Atlanta has achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (18th in majors). They have turned 105 double plays with a fielding percentage of .991 (2nd in majors), alongside collecting 1,339 assists, 53 errors, and 4,233 putouts this year.
Strider (39-23 lifetime record) has maintained a 3.73 ERA while allowing 7.2 hits per innings. With a K/BB ratio of 3.93, he has faced 1,854 batters throughout his career. Strider has conceded 186 earned runs while achieving a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.70. Thus far, he has permitted 360 hits and has accumulated 621 strikeouts across 448 innings.
Who will take tonight’s MLB game, covering the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Atlanta (-210) and the under on 9 runs
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