Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+150) Boston (-182)
The Boston Red Sox (74-60) set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) at Fenway Park this Friday. The moneyline for the game places Pittsburgh at +150 and Boston at -182, with an over/under total of 9 runs. Fans can expect to see Mike Burrows and Kyle Harrison on the mound as the starting pitchers.
This season, the Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging 3.6 runs per game, placing them last in the league. With a total of 483 runs scored, they hold a team on-base percentage of .305. The Pirates have achieved 198 doubles and hit 97 home runs, accumulating 466 RBIs and 1,038 hits, resulting in a batting average of .234. Their slugging percentage stands at .352, and they have struck out 1,160 times while taking 430 walks.
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Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and a collective WHIP of 1.21. They have allowed 128 home runs and given up a total of 548 runs, ranking 9th in Major League Baseball. The Pirates have conceded 1,050 hits (averaging 8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 516 earned runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.93, putting them 14th in MLB. Their pitchers have struck out a total of 1,056 batters, with 386 walks issued and a team FIP of 3.88.
Relief pitchers for the Pirates have faced runners on base 119 times and had 130 high-leverage situations, recording 58 holds this season (25th in MLB). Their save percentage sits at 58.0%, with 29 saves out of 110 opportunities, and they have allowed 37.1% of 186 inherited runners to score.
Defensively, the Pirates have converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs during 10,644 innings, ranking them 6th in the majors. This season, Pittsburgh has registered 3,548 putouts, 1,108 assists, and 63 errors, leading to a .987 fielding percentage, which is 13th in the league, along with 95 double plays.
Mike Burrows has pitched 79 innings with 80 strikeouts, holding a career ERA of 4.20 (37 earned runs). His WHIP is 1.261 with 69 hits allowed (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 31 walks. Burrows holds a 2-4 career record, facing 336 batters in the majors with a FIP of 4.14.
The Boston Red Sox boast 161 home runs and 635 RBIs this season, achieving 270 doubles while walking 440 times and scoring 665 runs. With an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .252, the Red Sox boast a team slugging percentage of .425 and an average of 4.96 runs per game (ranking 4th in the league). They have struck out 1,184 times (5th in the league) and accumulated a total of 1,159 hits.
Boston’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.00, ranking 18th in the league for total hits allowed (1,098). They have allowed 558 runs throughout the season, leading to a team ERA of 3.67 (489 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (1,108 strikeouts against 437 walks), with 136 home runs surrendered, allowing 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).
Boston’s bullpen pitchers have inherited base runners at a 30.9% score rate out of 178 chances. They have appeared 162 times in high-pressure situations and have seen 134 instances with runners on base. The Red Sox have achieved 71 holds and experienced 23 blown saves across 133 save opportunities, ranking 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.7%. Boston has utilized 436 relief pitchers this season and recorded 37 saves in 60 save chances.
Over 10,800 innings, the Red Sox defense has a 69.3% efficiency, placing them 21st in the league. They have turned 107 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .980, ranked 29th in the majors, alongside 1,228 assists, 101 errors, and 3,600 putouts this season.
Kyle Harrison (9-9 career record) has a 4.50 ERA with 8.6 hits allowed per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio rests at 2.87, having faced 779 batters in his career thus far. He has allowed 91 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 4.4, giving up 175 hits and achieving 178 strikeouts over 182 innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Boston (-182)
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