Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+120) Boston (-144)
On Saturday, Fenway Park will be the backdrop for an exciting clash as the Boston Red Sox (74-60) take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75). The betting line for this encounter shows the Pirates at +120, while the Red Sox come in at -144. The total runs for the game are projected at 8, with expected starters Johan Oviedo and Dustin May taking the mound.
This season, the Pirates have collectively hit 198 doubles and launched 97 home runs. Their team slugging percentage stands at .352, with a total of 1,160 strikeouts and 430 walks drawn. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging 3.6 runs per game, placing them 30th in the league. They have accumulated 466 RBIs and 1,038 hits, with a batting average of .234 and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .305.
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This season, the Pirates’ team earned run average (ERA) is 3.93, placing them 14th in the league, while their pitchers have struck out 1,056 batters. The staff has allowed 128 home runs and 548 runs (9th in MLB). They’ve issued 386 walks, with a team FIP of 3.88. Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 1,050 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 516 earned runs, maintaining a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.21.
The Pirates’ bullpen has achieved a save rate of 58.0%, entering 110 save situations. They’ve inherited 186 runners, with 37.1% scoring. Additionally, the Pirates have 130 high-leverage appearances, fielded 414 relief pitchers this season, and recorded 58 holds (25th in the league). They have tallied 29 saves, with 21 blown opportunities out of 50 chances.
This season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have registered 3,548 putouts, 1,108 assists, and 63 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987, ranked 13th in MLB, with 95 double plays. They convert 71.0% of balls in play into outs, positioning themselves 6th in professional baseball.
Pitcher Johan Oviedo has logged 330 innings and recorded 293 strikeouts during his career. With a career record of 14-25, his FIP stands at 4.24 after facing 1,466 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.31 (158 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.393. Oviedo has allowed 302 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 158 walks.
On the other hand, the Red Sox boast a slugging percentage of .425, averaging 4.96 runs per game (4th in MLB). They have hit 270 doubles and received 440 walks, scoring a total of 665 runs. This season, Boston has launched 161 home runs and achieved 635 RBIs, striking out 1,184 times (5th in the league) and tallying 1,159 hits. Their OBP is .324, complemented by a batting average of .252.
Boston’s pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.00. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30 (1,108 strikeouts against 437 walks), and they are 18th in the league in total hits allowed with 1,098. The Red Sox have surrendered 136 home runs and allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB), with a total of 558 runs and an ERA of 3.67 (489 earned runs).
In 133 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 71 holds and suffered 23 blown saves. Their relief squad has faced 60 save opportunities, converting 37 into saves. They have appeared in 162 high-leverage situations and handled 134 instances with runners on base, resulting in an inherited scoring rate of 30.9%. Their current save percentage is 61.7%, ranking 20th overall with 436 relief pitchers used this season.
Defensively, the Boston Red Sox have completed 107 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in MLB). They have accumulated 1,228 assists, 101 errors, and 3,600 putouts. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.3% over 10,800 innings, ranking them 21st in the league.
Pitcher Dustin May, with a career record of 19-19, holds a 3.77 ERA, allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.72 across 1,315 faced batters. May has surrendered 132 earned runs, accumulating a WHIP of 1.180 and a FIP of 3.7, with a total of 265 hits allowed and 291 strikeouts over 315 innings pitched.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Bet on Boston (-144)
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