Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+125) Minnesota (-145)
The Minnesota Twins (45-48) face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-56) at Target Field this Saturday. Pittsburgh is positioned at +125 on the moneyline, while Minnesota stands at -145. The total points for betting is set at 8.5 with Mike Burrows and Travis Adams slated as starting pitchers.
As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded an average of 3.4 runs per game, placing them 30th in the league. They have collectively scored 319 runs, maintaining a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .301. The Pirates have hit 123 doubles and launched 64 home runs. With a total of 309 runs batted in and 712 base hits, their batting average stands at .230. The team holds a slugging percentage of .340, having been struck out 821 times while earning 296 walks.
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The Pirates have achieved a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56, and their pitching team has a WHIP of 1.20. They have given up 87 home runs and a total of 364 runs (5th in the league). Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 720 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) alongside 339 earned runs, leading to a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.68 this season (9th in baseball) with 698 strikeouts. They have issued 273 walks, and their fielding independent pitching (FIP) is 3.88 for the year.
The Pirates’ bullpen has come into play with opponents on base 88 times during 95 high-pressure situations. They have managed 43 holds this season (24th in the league) and have a save rate of 54.5%, having encountered 78 save chances, converting 18 saves thus far while missing 15 out of 33 opportunities. On the season, the bullpen has inherited 138 runners, with 32.6% reaching home plate. A total of 288 relief pitchers have been utilized this year.
The Pirates boast a conversion rate of 71.8% on balls in play, ranking them 2nd in professional baseball over 7,458 innings. Additionally, Pittsburgh has notched 2,486 putouts, 812 assists, and made 43 errors. They hold a fielding percentage of .987, placing them 10th in the league, with 76 double plays turned.
Mike Burrows has pitched for 42 innings, striking out 43 batters throughout his MLB journey. With a career record of 2-2, he has faced 184 batters, holding a FIP of 3.56. His earned run average is 3.62 (17 earned runs allowed) and he maintains a career WHIP of 1.348, allowing 40 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) along with 17 walks.
The Minnesota Twins have achieved 107 home runs and 372 runs batted in so far. They have amassed 146 doubles while drawing 268 walks and scoring 387 runs. Minnesota’s on-base percentage is at .309, with a batting average of .239 this season. The Twins also have a team slugging percentage of .394, averaging 4.16 runs per game (21st in the league). They have struck out 770 times (16th in MLB) and recorded 743 hits.
As a unit, the Twins’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 3.73. They rank 19th in the league for total hits allowed (779). The Minnesota pitching staff has conceded 403 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 4.14 (375 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.70 (787 strikeouts against 242 walks), and they have allowed 96 home runs, yielding 4.44 runs per nine innings (20th in MLB).
The Minnesota bullpen has inherited runs at a rate of 35.1% with 94 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have engaged in 110 high-pressure situations and 66 instances with runners on base. With 99 save opportunities, the Twins have accumulated 65 holds, encountering 14 blown saves to secure a save rate of 56.3%, ranking them 24th in MLB. They have deployed 317 bullpen pitchers this season and have successfully converted 18 saves from 32 opportunities.
The Minnesota Twins have committed 45 errors, achieved 686 assists, and have 2,448 putouts this season, holding a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in professional baseball). Across their 7,344 defensive innings, their defensive efficiency sits at 69.0% (22nd in MLB).
In his MLB career, Travis Adams has allowed 9 hits while striking out 1 in 4 innings. With a career record of 0-0, he has an earned run average of 11.25, allowing 20.3 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 5 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 2.250 and a FIP of 11.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 0.00, having faced 20 opposing batters so far.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Pick from Tony Sink: Opt for Pittsburgh (+125)
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