Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-132), Washington (+110)
This Sunday, the Washington Nationals (60-86) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-83) at Nationals Park. The betting lines favor the Pirates at -132, while the Nationals are positioned at +110. This matchup features an over/under of 8.5 runs, with Mike Burrows and Cade Cavalli slated to be the starting pitchers.
This season, the Pirates have accumulated 220 doubles and hit 105 home runs. With a collective slugging percentage of .349, the team has struck out 1,288 times while drawing 481 walks. Pittsburgh ranks last in the MLB with an average of 3.6 runs per game. They have recorded 507 RBIs and achieved 1,127 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .232. Overall, they have scored 527 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .305.
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The Pirates’ pitching staff boasts a team ERA of 3.87, placing 11th in the league, and has struck out 1,173 batters. They have surrendered 138 home runs and a total of 599 runs (ranked 7th in MLB). The pitching team has walked 432 opposing batters, with a FIP of 3.88 this season. They have allowed 1,159 hits (averaging 8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 558 earned runs, yielding a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and a collective WHIP of 1.23.
Pirates’ relievers have a save percentage of 58.9%, having entered 123 save situations. This season, they’ve inherited 197 runners, with 36.0% crossing home plate. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has faced runners on base 129 times and has participated in 143 high-leverage scenarios. Throughout the season, they have deployed 460 relievers, accumulating 65 holds (26th in the league) and 33 saves while failing to convert 23 of 56 save opportunities.
Throughout the season, the Pirates have achieved 3,893 putouts, 1,221 assists, and committed 70 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .986, which ranks 13th in the MLB, while they have successfully turned 108 double plays. The Pirates have converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs during their 11,679 innings on the field, placing them 9th in the league.
Mike Burrows has pitched 88 innings, recording 90 strikeouts over his career. He holds an ERA of 3.98 (allowing 39 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.257. Allowing 78 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings), he has issued 33 walks. With a career record of 3-4, Burrows possesses a FIP of 3.92 while facing 374 batters in the major leagues.
The Washington Nationals maintain a team slugging percentage of .390 and average 4.29 runs per game, ranking 21st in the league. They have recorded 240 doubles, 410 walks, and amassed 626 runs this season. Washington has hit 140 home runs and accumulated 603 RBIs. With 1,183 strikeouts (23rd in the league), they have also achieved a total of 1,197 hits, posting a .308 OBP and a .245 batting average this season.
This year, the Nationals’ pitching staff has allowed 798 runs, resulting in a combined ERA of 5.30 (753 earned runs). They have given up 190 home runs, yielding 5.61 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Nationals’ WHIP stands at 1.433 with a FIP of 4.71. They currently have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.80 (1,114 strikeouts to 505 walks), ranking 29th in the league for total hits allowed at 1,328.
Washington’s relievers have a score inherited rate of 39.2%, leading to 245 inherited runners. They have entered 111 high-leverage situations and participated in 144 instances with runners on base. The Nationals have recorded 114 save situations, holding 66 holds and experiencing 16 blown saves. They rank 8th in the league with a save rate of 66.0%, having utilized 519 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has faced 47 save opportunities, securing 31 saves.
With a defensive efficiency of 68.3% over 11,514 innings (28th in MLB), the Nationals have turned 115 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). They have totaled 1,244 assists, committed 82 errors, and compiled 3,838 putouts throughout this season.
In his MLB career, Cade Cavalli has allowed 48 hits while registering 35 strikeouts in 38 innings. Holding a 3-2 career record, he has an ERA of 5.87 and has permitted 11.3 hits per nine innings. In total, he has surrendered 25 earned runs, accompanied by a WHIP of 1.540 and a FIP of 5.8. Cavalli’s K/BB ratio is 3.18, having faced 179 opposing batters in his journey through the majors.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB faceoff against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Pittsburgh (-132)
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