Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets Prediction for NFL Week 1 Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 9/7/2025

Home » Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets Prediction for NFL Week 1 Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 9/7/2025

Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Broadcast: CBS

Betting Odds: Jets (+3)

Total Points Over/Under: 38

The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7 in the previous season) travel to MetLife Stadium this Sunday to face off against the New York Jets (5-12 last season). The Jets are entering this match as 3-point underdogs according to Vegas sportsbooks. The total points line is established at 38.

Last season, the Steelers wrapped up the year with a 10-7 record. Their most recent game ended in a loss to the Baltimore Ravens, with a final score of 28-14. Quarterback Russell Wilson completed 20 of 29 passes for 270 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a QB rating of 121.3 without throwing any interceptions. Najee Harris led the rushing attack for the Steelers with 6 carries for just 17 yards (averaging 2.8 yards per carry). Wide receiver George Pickens registered 87 yards on 5 receptions, averaging 17.4 yards per catch. The Pittsburgh offense struggled on the ground, rushing a total of 29 yards on 11 attempts, averaging 2.6 yards per carry. They executed 41 plays, generating a combined total of 280 yards. On defense, the Steelers allowed 16 completions on 21 attempts, resulting in 165 passing yards and a completion rate of 76.2%. They also gave up 299 rushing yards on 50 attempts, averaging 6.0 yards surrendered per carry.

NFL predictions for Garrett Wilson New York Jets best betting odds

In terms of scoring, the Steelers averaged 22.4 points per game last season. They ranked 11th in the league with an average of 127.4 rushing yards per game and accumulated a total of 5,430 yards of offense throughout the year. Pittsburgh achieved 158 first downs but faced 102 penalties that totaled 823 yards. They turned the ball over 17 times (6 interceptions and 11 fumbles) and recorded 21 passing touchdowns along with 14 rushing touchdowns.

Defensively, the Steelers ranked 8th, allowing an average of 20.4 points per game. They permitted 4.1 yards per rush and a total of 98.7 rushing yards per game, giving up 1,678 rushing yards over the season. In the passing game, they yielded 3,876 yards, placing them 25th in the league, allowing 228.0 passing yards per game at a completion rate of 65.6%. Overall, they conceded 326.7 yards per game, ranking 12th in the NFL. The Steelers allowed 23 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns.

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The Jets concluded the last season with a 5-12 record. In their final game, they triumphed over the Miami Dolphins with a score of 32-20. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers threw for 274 yards with 4 touchdowns, completing 23 of 36 passes, with a QB rating of 112.5 and one interception. Running back Breece Hall recorded 12 carries for 57 yards, averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. Key receiver Davante Adams caught 6 passes for 88 yards, averaging 14.7 yards per catch. The Jets’ rushing game averaged 5.4 yards per carry, totaling 118 yards on 22 attempts, while they executed 59 plays for 375 yards (6.4 yards per play). New York’s defense allowed a completion percentage of 61.0%, giving up 199 yards on 25 completions out of 41 attempts, and they conceded 135 rushing yards on 23 attempts (5.9 yards per carry).

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Analyzing their scoring efficiency, the Jets ranked 25th in the NFL, averaging 19.9 points per game last season. They achieved a total of 3,714 passing yards, averaging 218.5 yards per game, placing them at 16th. Their rushing game produced 91.8 yards per game, amounting to a total of 1,561 rushing yards. Overall, they averaged 310.3 total yards per game, ranking 24th among NFL teams. The Jets’ offense incurred 1,134 yards in penalties, ranking them first in the league for helping their opponents through infractions.

Defensively, the Jets permitted 23.8 points per game, ranking 20th in the NFL. They gave up 18 passing touchdowns and allowed an average of 192.6 passing yards per game, ranking 4th. New York allowed a total of 2,059 rushing yards (121.1 yards per game) along with 22 rushing touchdowns last season. They participated in 1,068 defensive plays, ranking them 24th in the league, and recorded 17 takeaways (10 forced fumbles and 7 interceptions) throughout the season.

Who will secure victory in the Steelers-Jets NFL matchup against the spread?

Expert Prediction: Choose the Jets +3

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