Prediction and Preview for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks, 1/22/2026 Pick

Home » Prediction and Preview for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks, 1/22/2026 Pick

  • Matchup: Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
  • Broadcast: Prime Video

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The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) aim to secure a victory over the Golden State Warriors (25-20) at the American Airlines Center this Thursday.

NBA Picks Buddy Hield Golden State Warriors Predictions Best Bet Odds

In their previous game, the Warriors faced off against the Raptors and suffered a defeat, finishing with a score of 145-127. Golden State accumulated 20 fouls while Toronto committed 22. The Warriors were efficient from beyond the arc, hitting 21 of 34 attempts. Toronto, on the other hand, scored perfectly from the free-throw line, converting all 22 attempts. The Raptors secured 37 rebounds, comprising 9 offensive and 28 defensive boards, along with 1 block and 42 assists, while also making 7 steals. Defensively, Golden State struggled, allowing Toronto to shoot at an impressive 59.3% from the floor (51 of 86). The Warriors recorded 28 assists and forced 17 turnovers, along with 7 steals. On the boards, Golden State collected 36 rebounds with 14 offensive. They converted 17 of 26 free throws for a percentage of 65.4% and finished the game with a field goal percentage of 51.6% (47 of 91) alongside making 16 of 43 three-pointers.

Buddy Hield was a standout player in the last matchup, finishing with an impressive 87.5% shooting, along with 2 assists, in just 19 minutes. He tallied 25 points shooting 7 of 8 from the field and added 1 rebound.

The Warriors enter this matchup with a season record of 25-20. They average 15.5 turnovers per game while committing around 20.0 fouls. As a group, Golden State collects an average of 43.0 rebounds per game and has recorded 1,294 assists this season, ranking them 4th in the league for passing. Their shooting from beyond the arc stands at 36.7% (736 of 2,003) and they are hitting 81.6% from the free-throw line. Currently, they average 116.9 points per game, placing them 13th in the league, with a field goal percentage of 46.4%.

On defense, the Warriors force approximately 15.6 turnovers per game and average 19.4 fouls. They concede 35.1% to opponents from three-point range, ranking 9th in points allowed per game (114.0). Golden State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 47.1% overall (1,891 of 4,014) and they yield 44.3 rebounds per game, ranking 24th in the league for assists allowed with a total of 1,200.

In their last game, the Mavericks triumphed over the Knicks, winning 114-97. They secured 28 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards, totaling 35. The Mavericks had 13 turnovers but managed to snatch 4 steals during the game. The Knicks committed 21 fouls, providing Dallas with 28 free throws; they converted 19 of those for a shooting rate of 67.9%. The Mavericks made 15 of 32 three-point attempts (46.9%), and finished the game shooting 48.8% overall (40 of 82). Defensively, they allowed the Knicks to hit 38 of 95 shots (40.0%) and limited them to 29.0% from three-point range (9 of 31), while going 12 of 20 from the free-throw line (60.0%). Dallas allowed New York 28 total rebounds, including 7 offensive boards.

Max Christie significantly contributed to the Mavericks’ success, shooting 9 of 13 for a shooting percentage of 69.2%, while grabbing 6 rebounds and scoring 26 points in 35 minutes, adding 2 assists.

Dallas holds a record of 18-26 this season. Offensively, the Mavericks are shooting at a rate of 47.3% from the floor, ranking them 11th in the league. They have scored a total of 5,024 points this season, averaging 114.2 points per game, while collecting 44.7 rebounds. The team averages 25.5 assists (19th in the NBA) and turns the ball over 15.2 times per game, along with committing 19.1 fouls and shooting 74.8% from the free-throw line.

Defensively, the Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA in points allowed per game, with an average of 116.6. They generate 13.8 turnovers per contest and permit opponents to shoot 46.3% from the field (8th in the league). Dallas allows 32.9% shooting from beyond the arc and 77.9% from the charity stripe. They concede an average of 26.6 assists and 47.0 rebounds per game, placing them 13th and 27th in the league respectively.

What’s the prediction for tonight’s parlay?

Recommendation: Back Dallas and the under on total points

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Pick: Dallas Mavericks and the under on total points
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