Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins
Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Detroit (-275) Miami (+220)
On Friday, the Detroit Tigers (84-62) will visit loanDepot park aiming to triumph over the Miami Marlins (67-79). The moneyline for this matchup has the Tigers at -275 and the Marlins at +220. The total runs are projected at 8. Scheduled to take the mound are Tarik Skubal and Sandy Alcantara.
The Detroit Tigers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, placing them 7th in the league. With a total of 718 runs and an on-base percentage of .320, the Tigers have hit 228 doubles and launched 184 home runs. They have recorded 686 RBIs and amassed 1,233 hits this season, posting a batting average of .251. Detroit’s slugging percentage stands at .423, with 1,287 strikeouts and 459 walks.
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The Tigers have a team ERA of 3.86 this season, ranking 10th in MLB, while their pitchers have struck out 1,234 opponents. The staff has allowed 166 home runs and 611 total runs (12th in the league). Their pitchers have issued 429 walks, and their FIP is 4.03. Detroit has given up 1,169 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and allowed 556 earned runs. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.23.
The Tigers’ bullpen has a 66.1% save percentage, having entered 128 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 220 runners this season, with 27.7% scoring. The bullpen has been called upon 156 times in high-pressure scenarios and has made 447 relief appearances this year. The team has accumulated 68 holds (24th in the league), recording 37 saves despite failing to convert 19 of 56 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Tigers have converted 70.3% of balls put in play into outs over 11,661 innings, placing them 11th in professional baseball. The Colorado Rockies have recorded 3,887 putouts, 1,257 assists, and 74 errors so far. Their fielding percentage is .986, comparable to the 16th position in pro baseball, along with 120 double plays.
Skubal has pitched for 751 innings in his MLB career, achieving 870 strikeouts. He holds an ERA of 3.07 (256 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.020, allowing 599 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and 167 walks. Skubal has faced 2,990 hitters in the major leagues with a career record of 54-35 and a FIP of 3.02.
The Miami Marlins have recorded 139 home runs this season, alongside 605 RBIs. They have 244 doubles and achieved 439 walks, totaling 636 runs. The team operates with an on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .250. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .393, averaging 4.36 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have struck out 1,140 times (27th in the league) with 1,249 hits.
Miami’s pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.325 and a FIP of 4.35. They rank 22nd in the league for total hits allowed, giving up 1,257 hits this season while accumulating an ERA of 4.78 (688 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.00 (1,148 strikeouts vs. 458 walks), allowing 176 home runs, averaging 5.15 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB).
With 134 save situations, Miami’s bullpen has 77 holds and has blown 20 saves. The relief team has entered the game in 55 save opportunities, converting 35 of those into saves. They have appeared 151 times in high-leverage situations, and 113 times with runners on base. Miami relievers have inherited 32.5% of their 166 inherited runners, and they are ranked 13th in save percentage at 63.6%, having sent 456 relief pitchers to the mound this year.
Throughout 11,649 innings played, the Marlins have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in professional baseball). They have turned 96 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in pro baseball). The Marlins have compiled 1,236 assists, made 75 errors, and recorded 3,883 putouts this season.
Alcantara has allowed 919 hits in his career, achieving 912 strikeouts over 1,054 innings. He has given up 429 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.181 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.80, having faced 4,345 batters in his MLB tenure with a career record of 49-67 and an ERA of 3.66, allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Detroit (-275)
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