Prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams, 1/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams, 1/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams
  • Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
  • Venue: Moby Arena, Fort Collins, CO
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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This Tuesday, the Colorado State Rams (10-4) will host the New Mexico Lobos (11-3) at Moby Arena.

NCAA Basketball Predictions by Tomislav Buljan

In their most recent game, the New Mexico Lobos secured a convincing 78-58 victory against Wyoming. New Mexico showcased a strong performance with a field goal percentage of 46.9% (30 of 64) and converted 9 of 22 from beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, they completed 9 of 12 attempts, giving them a 75.0% success rate. On the boards, the Lobos collected 30 rebounds (11 offensive), dished out 15 assists, forced 12 turnovers, and recorded 6 steals. Defensively, they held Wyoming to a 39.6% shooting percentage on 21 of 53 attempts. Wyoming managed 14 assists and 5 steals and finished with 28 rebounds (12 offensive, 16 defensive) without any blocks. Free-throw shooting was decent for Wyoming, who made 9 of 13 attempts (69.2%) and struggled with their long-range shooting, connecting on only 7 of 28. The Lobos committed 14 fouls while Wyoming had 16.

Tomislav Buljan was a standout player in this match, scoring 25 points on a remarkable 11 of 13 shooting. He logged 24 minutes on the floor, grabbed 12 rebounds, and provided 1 assist.

This season, New Mexico stands at 11-3, averaging 79.6 points per game (ranked 132nd nationally) while shooting 44.8% overall. The Lobos have a 3-point shooting percentage of 32.5% (127 of 391) and an impressive 76.6% from the free-throw line. They are averaging 37.1 rebounds per game and have dished out 202 assists this season, ranking 243rd in college basketball. The team averages 11.2 turnovers and commits 17.5 fouls per game.

On the defensive front, the Lobos are effective at forcing 14.4 turnovers each game while committing 19.7 fouls. They rank 48th in the nation for allowing assists, conceding 165 throughout the season. New Mexico’s defense allows a 39.5% field goal percentage (320 of 811) and gives up an average of 35.1 rebounds per game, along with limiting opponents to 28.9% shooting from 3-point range. They rank 57th in college for points allowed per game, averaging 67.4.

In their previous outing, the Colorado State Rams clinched a 70-60 victory over Grand Canyon. The Rams secured 23 defensive and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 34. They recorded 11 turnovers and managed 6 steals during the game. Grand Canyon incurred 22 personal fouls, allowing the Rams 25 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 17 (68.0%). From beyond the arc, Colorado State made 9 out of 26 attempts (34.6%) and ended the game shooting 22 of 51 overall (43.1%). Defensively, the Rams allowed Grand Canyon to shoot 22 of 56 (39.3%) and 28.6% from 3-point range (8 of 28) while completing 8 of 13 from the free-throw line (61.5%). Colorado State permitted Grand Canyon to grab a total of 28 rebounds, including 9 offensive boards.

Carey Booth was noteworthy for the Rams during this contest. He shot 5 of 11, achieving a field goal percentage of 45.5%, and collected 12 rebounds, totaling 19 points in his 34-minute appearance while also dishing out 1 assist.

Colorado State holds a record of 10-4 this season. Offensively, the Rams are shooting 51.2% from the field, ranking them 17th in college basketball, having scored 1,133 points (80.9 points per game). They average 33.8 boards and 16.9 assists per game (65th nationally), while committing 11.3 turnovers and 16.2 fouls each game. The Rams excel at the free-throw line with a 77.7% success rate.

On the defensive end, Colorado State allows opponents to shoot 33.3% from 3-point range (123 of 369) and only 66.4% from the free-throw line. They yield an average of 12.1 assists and 29.0 rebounds, ranking them 79th and 6th in those categories. Opponents score an average of 71.5 points per game against them, placing the Rams 133rd in this regard. They force an average of 9.4 turnovers per game while allowing teams to achieve a 44.8% shooting rate (266th in Division 1).

Who do you think will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA game against the spread?

Prediction: Select New Mexico

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Pick: New Mexico Lobos
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