Matchup: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Scheduled Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: New York (-144) Boston (+120)
At Fenway Park, the Boston Red Sox (81-66) are set to clash with the New York Yankees (81-65) this Sunday. The Yankees are favored at -144, while the Red Sox are valued at +120. The total runs line is set at 8. The starting pitchers for the game will be Will Warren and Garrett Crochet.
The New York Yankees are currently batting .455 and have been struck out 1,302 times, while drawing 569 walks. This season, they have accumulated 734 RBIs and notched 1,231 hits, achieving a batting average of .249. The team has recorded 230 doubles and hit 249 home runs, amassing 761 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .330. The Yankees boast an impressive average of 5.2 runs per game, ranking them first in the league.
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With a K/BB ratio of 2.54, the pitching team has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Yankee pitchers have allowed 158 home runs and a total of 635 runs (ranking 16th in the league). With 1,136 hits surrendered (7.9 per 9 innings) and 578 earned runs, their ERA stands at 4.01 this season (16th in MLB), alongside 1,295 strikeouts. The staff has issued 510 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.03 for the season.
Yankee bullpen pitchers have been called upon 155 times with inherited runners, participating in 148 high-pressure situations. Collectively, they have secured 88 holds this season, placing them 9th in MLB. The relief unit has a save percentage of 64.4%, converting on 38 of 59 save opportunities, while 28.3% of inherited runners have scored against them. In total, 480 relief pitchers have been utilized throughout the season.
The Yankees have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs over their 11,679 innings, ranking them 10th in the majors. The New York defense has recorded 3,893 putouts, alongside 1,259 assists and 84 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984, which positions them at 23rd in professional baseball, and executing 97 double plays.
Will Warren has pitched 169 innings in his career, striking out 187 batters. With a record of 8-9, Warren has a FIP of 4.98 against 750 opposing hitters. His current ERA is 5.05, allowing 95 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.430, having given up 171 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) along with issuing 71 walks.
The Boston Red Sox have a slugging percentage of .425 and average 4.94 runs per game, placing them 5th in the league. They have achieved a total of 300 doubles, drawn 470 walks, and scored 726 runs this season. Boston has hit 173 home runs, contributing to 692 RBIs, while striking out 1,293 times (7th in MLB) and collecting 1,284 hits. This season, they have a .324 on-base percentage and a batting average of .254.
The Red Sox pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.291, with a 4.02 FIP. They rank 20th in MLB in hits allowed, with 1,217 total hits given up. The pitching crew has surrendered 619 runs this season, alongside a team ERA of 3.74 (546 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30 (1,218 strikeouts versus 479 walks). They have allowed 150 home runs and relinquish 4.24 runs per nine innings, which ranks 12th in the league.
The Boston bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 32.3% from 195 runners, with 173 high-leverage appearances and 143 instances with runners on base. In 147 save opportunities, they have compiled 78 holds and experienced 26 blown saves, currently holding a 61.2% save percentage and employing 483 relief pitchers this season. They have successfully converted 41 of 67 save chances.
Defensively, the Red Sox have turned 119 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in MLB). They have amassed 1,335 assists, committed 105 errors, and recorded 3,943 putouts over their 11,829 innings played, achieving a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in MLB).
Garrett Crochet, with a career record of 24-24, boasts a 2.96 ERA, allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.54, having faced 1,650 batters in his career. He has allowed 133 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.109 and a FIP of 2.9. Throughout his MLB career, Crochet has given up 333 hits and has recorded 522 strikeouts in 404 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game on the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Boston (+120)
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