Prediction for Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds, 9/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Prediction for Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds, 9/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, September 1, 2025

Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Betting Odds: Toronto (-132) Cincinnati (+110)

On Monday, the Cincinnati Reds (68-66) will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (78-56) at Great American Ball Park. The moneyline for this matchup stands at Toronto at -132 and Cincinnati at +110, with an over/under set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers are anticipated to be Chris Bassitt for Toronto and Hunter Greene for Cincinnati.

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The Blue Jays have achieved 242 doubles during the season and launched 162 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .431, they’ve been struck out 900 times while drawing 439 walks. As a collective, the Toronto Blue Jays score an impressive average of 5.0 runs per game, placing them 4th in the league. They have amassed 640 runs batted in and 1,229 hits this year, resulting in a batting average of .268. They are currently holding a total of 664 runs and a team on-base percentage of .338.

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The Blue Jays currently have a team ERA of 4.22, ranking 19th in MLB, and their pitchers have combined for 1,188 strikeouts. The Toronto pitching unit has surrendered 182 home runs and a total of 604 runs (19th in MLB). With 429 walks issued, their FIP stands at 4.36 for the season. Additionally, the Blue Jays have allowed 1,074 hits (averaging 8.1 per 9 innings) and have a total of 558 earned runs. With a K/BB ratio of 2.77, their pitching lineup holds a WHIP of 1.26.

The Blue Jays bullpen has recorded a save percentage of 63.3% and has been utilized in 144 save opportunities. This relief squad has faced 202 inherited runners, with 29.2% of these crossing home plate. Toronto’s relievers have entered the game with runners on base 141 times and have made 137 appearances in high-leverage situations. A total of 463 relievers have been called to the mound this season, achieving 81 holds (11th in the league). To date, they have succeeded in 38 saves from 60 attempts.

The Blue Jays have converted 70.3% of batted balls into outs over 10,707 innings, placing them 11th in MLB. Throughout this campaign, the Toronto defense has notched 3,569 putouts, 1,012 assists, and committed 75 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in professional baseball) with 94 double plays turned.

Bassitt, with 1,258 career innings, has recorded 1,173 strikeouts to date. His ERA stands at 3.66, with 511 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.246. He has issued 401 walks while allowing 1,166 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and holds an overall career record of 83-63 and a FIP of 3.60 against 5,323 opposing hitters.

The Reds are achieving a team slugging percentage of .388 and posting 4.46 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have registered 212 doubles, obtained 435 walks, and scored a total of 597 runs. This season, Cincinnati has hit 130 home runs and recorded 562 RBIs. They have struck out 1,165 times (10th in baseball) and accumulated 1,107 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .246 and an on-base percentage of .316.

The Reds maintain a team WHIP of 1.240 and a collective FIP of 4.05 this season. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.50 (1,125 strikeouts to 418 walks), ranking them 7th in the league for total hits allowed with 1,050. They have permitted 150 home runs, allowing 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). Cincinnati’s pitching unit has surrendered 563 runs, with an ERA of 3.85 (506 earned runs allowed).

The Reds’ relief pitchers have an inherited runner scoring rate of 32.1% out of 184 inherited runners. They have entered 135 high-leverage situations and pitched with runners on base on 123 occasions. In 135 save situations this season, Cincinnati has achieved 83 holds and recorded 19 blown saves, sitting at 20th in the league with a save rate of 62.0%. The Reds have utilized 457 bullpen pitchers in games this season, successfully making 31 saves out of 50 opportunities.

Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB clash based on the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Cincinnati (+110)

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