Prediction for UT Rio Grande Vaqueros vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 12/3/2025

Home » Prediction for UT Rio Grande Vaqueros vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 12/3/2025

  • Matchup: UTRGV Vaqueros vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Venue: William R. Johnson Coliseum, Nacogdoches, TX
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (5-2) aim to secure a victory at the William R. Johnson Coliseum against the UTRGV Vaqueros (2-4) this Wednesday.

College Basketball Predictions: Keon Thompson and Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Odds

The UTRGV Vaqueros faced a tough matchup against Illinois, suffering a defeat with a score of 87-73 in their previous game. The Vaqueros committed 20 personal fouls while Illinois had 16. From three-point range, UTRGV made 8 of 30 attempts. Illinois excelled at the free-throw line, converting 19 of 22 for an impressive 86.4%. Illinois also dominated the boards, gathering 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive) but did not record a block. As for assists, Illinois provided 17 while only managing a single steal during the matchup. Defensively, the Vaqueros allowed 50.0% shooting from the field, permitting 30 of 60 attempts while forcing 11 turnovers and tallying 7 steals. UTRGV grabbed 31 rebounds, including 10 offensive boards, and struggled to hit their free throws, making only 8 of 16 for a conversion rate of 50.0%. Overall, the Vaqueros shot 39.7% from the field (27 of 68) and made 11 out of 26 shots from beyond the arc.

Kye Dickson was a standout performer, scoring 21 points on 8 of 14 shooting. He played 29 minutes and contributed 5 rebounds while finishing the game with a shooting percentage of 57.1% but did not dish out any assists.

UTRGV enters this game with a record of 2-4 for the season, averaging 81.8 points per game (ranked 117th in D-1) and posting an impressive 47.6% shooting from the field. The Vaqueros are hitting 43.0% from three-point range (65 of 151) and 68.8% at the charity stripe. They average 35.0 rebounds per game and have accumulated 98 assists this season, ranking 278th in D-1. This team averages 10.8 turnovers and commits 20.0 personal fouls each game.

Defensively, the Vaqueros create an average of 12.5 turnovers per game and draw 15.0 fouls. They concede 33.7% from three-point range and rank 265th in allowing points per game (77.8). Their opponents shoot 44.4% from the field (158 of 356), and UTRGV surrenders an average of 35.3 rebounds per game. They rank 120th in college hoops in terms of assists allowed, with a total of 92 on the season.

In their last outing, the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fell short against UT Arlington, losing 66-61. The Lumberjacks secured 15 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards, totaling 24 rebounds in the game. Unfortunately, they also turned over the ball 10 times and managed 5 steals. UT Arlington’s foul count reached 10, allowing the Lumberjacks to hit the charity stripe 8 times, converting 6 for a solid 75.0%. The Lumberjacks made only 3 of 13 attempts from three-point range (23.1%) and finished the game shooting 42.6% from the floor (26 of 61). Defensively, Stephen F. Austin allowed UT Arlington to shoot 21 of 47, resulting in a field goal percentage of 44.7%. They permitted 28 total rebounds, with 7 coming from the offensive side.

Keon Thompson was instrumental for the Lumberjacks, achieving 20 points on 8 of 21 shooting (38.1%) while adding 3 rebounds and 3 assists during his 33 minutes on the court.

Currently, Stephen F. Austin holds a 5-2 record for the season. The Lumberjacks average 19.0 personal fouls per game while boasting a charity stripe shooting percentage of 61.1%. They dish out assists 14.6 times per game (183rd in college basketball) and average 10.1 turnovers. Stephen F. Austin has scored a total of 552 points this season (78.9 per game) and secures an average of 37.4 rebounds per game, shooting 45.3% from the field, placing them 193rd in the country.

The Stephen F. Austin defense limits opponents to 31.2% from three-point range (34 of 109) and allows 72.9% at the free-throw line. They concede an average of 10.3 assists and 33.7 rebounds per game, ranking 33rd and 133rd respectively in these defensive categories. The Lumberjacks rank 99th in PPG allowed, with 68.9. They force an average of 12.7 turnovers per game and permit opponents to shoot 42.6% from the floor, placing them 152nd in D-1.

Who will triumph in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Select UT Rio Grande

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Pick: UT Rio Grande Vaqueros
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