- Ryan Gandra vs Jose Daniel Medina
- UFC Mexico
- Arena CDMX, Mexico City
- Saturday, February 28, 2026
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On February 28, 2026, Ryan Gandra will compete against Jose Daniel Medina at UFC Mexico. The opening moneyline features Gandra at -550 and Medina at +400.
Ryan “Problema” Gandra enters the octagon with a professional record of 8 wins and 1 loss. At 30 years old, he weighs 185 lbs and stands 6′ 1″. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74 inches. Conversely, Jose “Chicho” Daniel Medina, 34 years old, weighs in at 185 lbs and stands 6′ 0″, also boasting a reach of 74 inches. Medina’s current record stands at 11 wins and 6 losses. When it comes to significant strikes, Gandra averages 11.23 per minute while Medina connects with only 2.16. Gandra effectively lands 51% of his significant strikes, while Medina has a lower accuracy of 36%. Defensively, Gandra absorbs 2.11 significant strikes per minute, significantly better than Medina’s 5.07. Gandra manages to defend 79% of the strikes thrown at him, whereas Medina stops just 46%.
| UFC Mexico | Ryan Gandra | Jose Daniel Medina |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -550 | +400 |
| Record | 8-1-0 | 11-6-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 2:51 | 9:28 |
| Height | 6′ 1″ | 6′ 0″ |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 74″ | 74″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 11.23 | 2.16 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 36% |
In wrestling, Ryan Gandra excels, achieving a takedown approximately 0.70 times per 3 rounds. He successfully brings his opponents to the ground 15% of the time and defends against 85% of opponent’s takedown attempts. On the other hand, Daniel Medina succeeds with 33% of his takedown attempts and defends 27% of those against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Gandra averages 0.5 submissions every 15 minutes, while Medina attempts 0.9 submissions in the same timeframe.
In his previous fight, Ryan Gandra achieved a victory over Trent Miller, finishing the bout with a head punch in round 1. Miller landed only 6 out of 30 total strikes attempted, while Gandra found success with 34 out of 65 attempts. In terms of significant strikes, Miller managed to hit 20% accuracy, landing 6 of 29 strikes, whereas Gandra landed 51% of his significant strikes, totaling 32 out of 62 attempts, including 26 aimed at the head. Notably, 100% of Miller’s and 78% of Gandra’s significant strikes were landed from a distance.
In Jose Daniel Medina’s last appearance in the Octagon, he was defeated by Dusko Todorovic via rear naked choke in round 1. Todorovic landed 62% of his significant strikes from distance, while Medina matched this with 100% accuracy on his distance strikes. Medina connected on 36% of his total attempts, landing 9 of 25, including 5 of 17 that targeted the head. Todorovic had an impressive performance, landing 16 of 24 significant strikes, with the majority directed at the head. Overall, Todorovic connected on 27 of 36 total strikes thrown, while Medina landed 13 of 29 attempts.
Additional Fights to Follow
A key matchup to watch features Cristian Quinonez facing Kris Moutinho. Quinonez holds an impressive record of 18-5-0. At 29 years of age, he weighs 135 lbs and stands 5′ 8″ with a reach of 70 inches. Meanwhile, Moutinho, at 33 years old, stands 5′ 7″ and has a record of 14-7-0. In grappling stats, Quinonez averages 1.37 takedowns per 3 rounds versus Moutinho’s 0.40. Striking metrics show Quinonez landing 4.19 strikes per minute at 40% accuracy, while Moutinho lands 4.51 per minute with a 31% success rate.
Another noteworthy fight pits Javier Reyes against Douglas Silva de Andrade. Silva de Andrade enters with a strong record of 29-6-0 (1 NC). Weighing 145 lbs and standing 5′ 7″, he has a reach of 68 inches. Reyes, also at 5′ 7″ and 145 lbs, looks to boost his record of 22-5-0. Silva de Andrade excels at takedowns, completing 42% of his attempts while thwarting 72% of those attempted against him. Reyes on the other hand, completes 15% of his takedowns and stops 50% attempted against him. In striking defense, Silva de Andrade takes 3.93 strikes per minute while delivering 3.54 per minute, while Reyes absorbs a mere 0.79 strikes per minute and lands 8.29.
Who will emerge victorious in this thrilling UFC match-up?
Prediction: Back Ryan Gandra (-550)
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