Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Forecast, 10/22/2025 Analysis and Choice

Home » Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Forecast, 10/22/2025 Analysis and Choice

  • Matchup: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns
  • Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025
  • Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ
  • Broadcast: AZ Family Sports Network
  • Betting Odds: Sacramento (+3.5)

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The Mortgage Matchup Center will host an exciting game where the Phoenix Suns (36-46 last season) are set to face the Sacramento Kings (40-42 last year) this Wednesday. The Suns open as 3.5-point favorites according to the latest odds. The total points line is set at 227.5.

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In their last encounter, the Kings claimed victory over the Suns with a score of 109-98. Sacramento posted an impressive 52.3% shooting percentage, hitting 46 out of 88 attempts, and converted 14 of 34 three-pointers. From the free throw line, they achieved a perfect 3 for 3, reflecting a 100% success rate. On the boards, the Kings secured a total of 43 rebounds, with 10 being offensive. They also recorded 31 assists, while committing 13 turnovers and snagging 6 steals. Defensively, the Kings allowed the Suns to shoot 47.6% from the field, as they made 40 of 84 attempts. The Suns managed 28 assists and had 6 steals during the game, alongside 37 rebounds (9 offensive and 28 defensive) and recorded 4 blocks. At the charity stripe, the Suns converted 3 out of 6 attempts for 50%. They struggled from beyond the arc, making 15 of their 44 attempts. In terms of fouls, the Kings committed 7, while the Suns had 9 fouls throughout the game.

One standout player from this showdown was Jonas Valanciunas. He had an exceptional performance, shooting 90.9% from the field and contributing 4 assists. In just 21 minutes of play, he grabbed 10 rebounds and scored 22 points on 10 of 11 shooting.

The Kings enter this game following a 40-42 record last season, averaging 115.7 points per game (10th in the league) with a shooting percentage of 47.8%. Sacramento successfully converted 35.7% of their three-point attempts (1,032 of 2,887) and shot 80.6% from the free throw line. As a team, they averaged 44.2 rebounds per game and dished out 2,169 assists, which ranked 13th in the league. They averaged 13.3 turnovers and committed 18.9 fouls each game.

Defensively, the Kings were effective at forcing 13.9 turnovers from opponents and drawing 18.5 fouls. They allowed a 38.1% three-point shooting rate and were ranked 19th in points allowed per game (115.3). Opponents shot 47.4% against them from the field (3,409 of 7,196), and they averaged 42.3 rebounds conceded per game, ranking 17th in that category.

In their last outing, the Suns faced a defeat against the Kings with a final score of 109-98. They permitted Sacramento to grab a total of 43 rebounds (10 offensive), while managing 14 of 34 successful three-point shots at a 41.2% rate. The Suns shot 3 for 3 from the charity stripe (100%) and allowed the Kings to convert 46 of 88 field goal attempts (52.3% shooting). Overall, Phoenix made 40 of 84 shots, tallying a field goal percentage of 47.6%. From beyond the arc, they finished 15 of 44 (34.1%) and also achieved 3 free throws at a 50% success rate. The Kings committed 7 fouls which allowed the Suns 6 free throw attempts. They recorded 13 turnovers along with 6 steals, accumulating 37 rebounds in total with 28 defensive and 9 offensive.

Grayson Allen was a key player for the Suns, finishing the game with 20 points, shooting 8 of 13 for a 61.5% field goal percentage, also contributing 2 rebounds and 5 assists in 28 minutes on the court.

Last season, the Suns posted a record of 36-46. On average, they committed 17.9 fouls per game and achieved an 81.0% free throw percentage. Phoenix assisted 27.8 times per contest (10th in the NBA) and experienced 14.1 turnovers per game. They accumulated a total of 9,317 points, averaging 113.6 points per game, along with 42.5 rebounds per game. Offensively, the Suns ranked 11th in the league with a shooting percentage of 47.8%.

Defensively, the Suns allowed their opponents to shoot 37.0% from three-point range (1,163 of 3,145), and 79.0% from the free throw line. They surrendered 27.3 assists and 44.2 rebounds per game, ranking 21st and 16th, respectively. The Suns were positioned 22nd in the NBA in points allowed per game (116.6) and forced 12.2 turnovers while allowing teams to shoot 47.3% from the field (21st in the league).

Which team will cover the spread in tonight’s NBA matchup?

Prediction: Choose Sacramento (+3.5)

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Pick: Sacramento Kings (+3.5)
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