Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Monday, August 4, 2025
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcast: DBACKS.TV
Betting Odds: San Diego (-130), Arizona (+110)
The San Diego Padres (60-49) travel to Chase Field to face the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-58) on Monday. Current betting odds favor San Diego at -130 with Arizona at +110. The total runs projected for this game is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are JP Sears and Brandon Pfaadt.
This season, the San Diego Padres are averaging 4.1 runs per game, placing them 24th in the league. They have scored a total of 445 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage of .318. The Padres have hit 168 doubles and 92 home runs, totaling 417 RBIs with 911 hits, resulting in a batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage is .380, with 767 strikeouts compared to 344 walks.
For pitching, the Padres have a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.22. The pitching staff has conceded 106 home runs and allowed 413 runs so far (3rd in MLB). They have given up 812 hits (7.6 per 9 innings), 379 of which are earned runs, contributing to an impressive team ERA of 3.55 (3rd in MLB) and 921 strikeouts. The staff has issued 358 walks with a FIP of 3.87.
Padres relievers have stepped in during 129 situations with players on base and 156 high leverage appearances. This bullpen has secured 75 holds this season (5th in baseball) with a save rate of 73.5%, converting 36 of 49 chances and allowing only 28.7% of inherited runners to score. A total of 382 relief pitchers have been used so far this season.
Defensively, the Padres have registered 2,886 putouts, 828 assists, and 52 errors, with a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 13th in the MLB. They’ve executed 80 double plays, turning 71.5% of balls in play into outs across 8,658 innings, ranking 3rd in the league.
JP Sears (29-39 career record) has a FIP of 4.42, facing 2,253 batters throughout his MLB journey. He has allowed 516 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and issued 154 free passes. His earned run average stands at 4.48 with a WHIP of 1.255, having pitched 534 innings and racked up 446 strikeouts in his career.
On the other hand, the Arizona Diamondbacks have secured 149 home runs this season and accumulated 516 RBIs, along with 191 doubles and 528 runs scored—bringing their on-base percentage to .323 and batting average to .248. They have a slugging percentage of .436, averaging 4.84 runs per game (5th in MLB). They’ve recorded 861 strikeouts (21st in MLB) and 914 hits.
Arizona’s pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.334 and a FIP of 4.30 while giving up a league-low 949 hits. They’ve allowed 540 runs this season with a collective ERA of 4.60 (494 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is 8.40, obtaining 905 strikeouts against 341 walks while permitting 139 home runs. They give up 5.02 runs every 9 innings (25th in MLB).
The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has faced 47 save opportunities, achieving 29 saves and holding a 61.7% save rate, ranking 16th in the league. They’ve deployed 324 bullpen pitchers this season and have made 94 high leverage appearances along with 85 situations with runners on. Their inherited score rate is 34.9% from their 109 inherited base runners, managing 53 holds and 18 blown saves.
Defensively, the Diamondbacks have turned 85 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in the league). They’ve recorded 957 assists, 56 errors, and 2,903 putouts over the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.0% (22nd in MLB) through 8,709 innings played.
Brandon Pfaadt (24-26 career win-loss record) has a current ERA of 5.08, permitting 9.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is positioned at 4.05, facing 1,686 batters in his MLB career. He has yielded 222 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 5.0, having allowed 419 hits while achieving 377 strikeouts across 393 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Prediction: Opt for Arizona (+110) and under 8.5 total runs
Unlock $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Commitment. No Sales. No Credit Card Required. Quick Sign-up for Instant Access Click Here
Source link
