Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcasting On: DBACKS.TV
Betting Odds: San Diego (-128) Arizona (+106)
On Tuesday, the San Diego Padres (62-50) will travel to Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-59). The betting lines feature the Padres at -128 and the Diamondbacks opening at +106, with the total set at 9 runs. Yu Darvish and Ryne Nelson are projected to be the starting pitchers for this matchup.
The San Diego Padres are averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking 24th in the league with 461 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .319. They have hit 170 doubles and launched 95 home runs this season. With 432 RBIs and 937 total hits, their team batting average stands at .251. The Padres slugging percentage is .381, having struck out 783 times while drawing 353 walks this year.
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San Diego’s pitching staff holds a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.21. They’ve allowed 108 home runs and have given up 425 runs this season (3rd in the league). The Padres have surrendered 834 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and 391 earned runs. Their team ERA is 3.56, ranking 3rd in the league, with a total of 953 strikeouts. The pitching staff has walked 363 batters with a FIP of 3.84 throughout the season.
This season, the Padres have utilized 393 relievers, with 185 inherited runners, of which 29.2% scored. The relief corps has recorded 38 saves out of 51 opportunities, boasting a save success rate of 74.5%, and has been involved in 132 save situations. They have also earned 78 holds, positioning them 2nd in the league. Padres relievers have entered the game with runners on base 131 times, participating in 158 high-pressure scenarios.
Defensively, the Padres have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs over 8,901 innings, putting them 2nd in the league. They have recorded 2,967 putouts, 847 assists, and 53 errors, sporting a fielding percentage of .986, which is 14th in MLB, and have completed 83 double plays.
Yu Darvish has pitched a total of 1,729 innings, tallying 2,025 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 111-91, he possesses a FIP of 3.56, having faced 7,112 hitters in the majors. His career ERA stands at 3.62 (695 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.139. He has allowed 1,417 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has issued 553 walks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a slugging percentage of .435 and score an average of 4.84 runs per game, ranking 6th in baseball. They have achieved 194 doubles, drawn 393 walks, and scored 542 runs. The team has hit 153 home runs and amassed 530 RBIs, striking out 882 times (21st in the league) with 941 hits. The Diamondbacks hold a .324 on-base percentage and a .249 batting average this season.
Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 551 runs, with a team ERA of 4.58 (505 earned runs). They have surrendered 141 home runs and an average of 4.99 runs per nine innings, ranking 25th in the league. The team’s WHIP is 1.337, with a FIP of 4.30. The strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.30 (921 strikeouts to 350 walks), placing them 24th in terms of total hits allowed—978.
In 107 save situations, the Diamondbacks have recorded 56 holds and faced 18 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered 48 save opportunities, securing 30 saves. The relief staff has appeared 96 times in high-pressure situations and 89 times with runners on base. Arizona relievers have an inherited scoring percentage of 33.6% from 113 inherited runners. They rank 17th in the league with a save success rate of 62.5%, having employed 335 relievers this season.
On defense, the Diamondbacks have played 8,943 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (23rd in Major League Baseball). They have turned 87 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in MLB), with 989 assists, 56 errors, and 2,981 putouts so far this season.
In his career, Ryne Nelson has allowed 393 hits while achieving 319 strikeouts over 408 innings pitched. With a career win-loss record of 25-18, Nelson has an earned run average of 4.26, permitting 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 193 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.242 and a FIP of 4.2, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.80 after facing 1,702 batters.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or on the moneyline?
Parlay’s Pundit’s Prediction: Bet on Arizona (+106) and under 9 runs
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