Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
Event Date: Friday, September 5, 2025
Venue: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Broadcast: Rockies.TV
Betting Odds: San Diego (-150) Colorado (+125)
On Friday, the Colorado Rockies (39-101) host the San Diego Padres (76-64) at Coors Field. The current moneyline shows San Diego at -150, while Colorado stands at +125. The total runs projected for this game are set at 8. Expected to take the mound are starting pitchers Nick Pivetta and Tanner Gordon.
The San Diego Padres are currently averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 22nd in the league. They have achieved a total of 592 runs scored and maintain an on-base percentage of .322. The Padres have hit 227 doubles and 122 home runs, with 556 RBIs alongside 1,177 hits this season, leading to a batting average of .252. Their slugging percentage is .385, having struck out 987 times while drawing 451 walks.
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San Diego showcases a K/BB ratio of 2.60, and their pitching staff boasts a WHIP of 1.21. Padres pitchers have surrendered 148 home runs and a total of 544 runs (ranking 3rd in MLB), yielding 1,031 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 503 earned runs. The Padres possess a team earned run average of 3.66 (4th in MLB) with 1,207 strikeouts. Their pitching unit has issued 464 walks, compiling a collective FIP of 4.01 this season.
This season, Padres relievers have faced opponents in scoring positions 161 times and have had 186 high-leverage appearances. With 90 holds (ranking 6th overall in the league), their save percentage stands at 74.1%, having engaged in 153 save opportunities, converting 43 saves while missing on 15 out of 58 chances. Their relievers have inherited 230 runners with 29.1% crossing home plate. The Padres’ bullpen has fielded 496 appearances throughout the season.
This year, the Padres have converted 71.8% of balls put into play into outs over 11,124 innings, placing them 2nd in MLB. They have logged 3,708 putouts, 1,055 assists, and 65 errors, with a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB), and achieved 100 double plays.
Nick Pivetta has tossed 1,187 innings, accumulating 1,306 strikeouts in his MLB career. He carries an earned run average of 4.50 (594 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.267. Allowing 1,085 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) along with 419 walks, Pivetta has a career record of 69-75 and a FIP of 4.44 while facing 5,009 batters during his MLB tenure.
The Colorado Rockies have hit 139 home runs this season alongside 516 RBIs. They have recorded 228 doubles, walked 347 times, and scored 530 runs. The Rockies maintain an OBP of .297 and a batting average of .241. Their slugging percentage is .393 with an average of 3.79 runs per game (29th in MLB), having struck out 1,302 times (2nd in MLB) with a total of 1,131 hits.
With a staff WHIP of 1.606, the Rockies clinch a FIP of 5.21 for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 6.90 (932 strikeouts to 488 walks). Ranking last in MLB, they have allowed a total of 1,473 hits, including 212 home runs, and concede an average of 6.59 runs per 9 innings. The Rockies pitching staff has allowed 894 runs with an ERA of 6.01 (816 earned runs).
The Rockies have encountered 99 save situations, achieving 51 holds but incurring 23 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have been active in 48 save cases, successfully securing 25 saves. They’ve faced high-leverage situations 127 times and have had runners on base in 143 occurrences. The inherited scoring rate for Colorado relief pitchers stands at 35.9% for 245 inherited runners, landing them 29th in league save percentage at 52.1%, and they have deployed 465 relievers this season.
In 10,992 defensive innings, the Rockies hold a 65.6% efficiency (30th in MLB). They’ve turned 138 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in majors), with 1,308 assists, 101 errors, and a total of 3,664 putouts this season.
Tanner Gordon (5-11 career record) has posted a 7.08 ERA, allowing 12.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.35, having faced 414 hitters in his professional career. With a WHIP of 1.641 and a FIP of 7.0, Gordon has allowed 71 earned runs and has given up 128 hits while achieving 67 strikeouts in 90 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown? Will it be against the spread or the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Opt for Colorado (+125)
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