- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs New York Mets
- Scheduled Date: Thursday, September 18, 2025
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: San Diego (-144), New York (+120)
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The San Diego Padres (82-69) are set to face off against the New York Mets (78-73) at Citi Field this Thursday. The betting line is currently in favor of San Diego at -144, while New York is positioned at +120. The over/under for this matchup stands at 8 runs, with Randy Vasquez and Jonah Tong as the anticipated starting pitchers.
This season, the Padres have recorded a slugging percentage of .389, with 1,071 strikeouts and 479 walks. They have tallied 607 RBIs and achieved 1,269 base hits, maintaining a team batting average of .251. The Padres have registered 244 doubles and have hit 138 home runs, scoring a total of 644 runs with an on-base percentage of .321. On average, they are scoring 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in the league.
The Padres boast a team ERA of 3.67 (ranking 3rd in MLB) and have struck out a formidable 1,323 batters. They have allowed 165 home runs and a total of 586 runs (2nd in MLB). The pitching unit has issued 486 walks and holds a FIP of 4.00. They have conceded 1,119 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and accumulated 544 earned runs. The K/BB ratio stands at 2.72, with a collective WHIP of 1.20.
This season, Padres pitchers have entered with runners on base 171 times and have made 197 high leverage appearances, recording 96 holds (6th in the league). San Diego’s bullpen has a save percentage of 74.2%, entering 163 save opportunities and securing 46 saves while misfiring on 16 of 62 chances. The relievers have inherited 242 runners, with 29.3% ultimately scoring. Throughout the season, 532 relievers have taken the mound for the Padres.
Defensively, the Padres converted 71.7% of balls in play into outs over 12,006 innings, placing them 2nd in professional baseball. They currently have 4,002 putouts, 1,138 assists, and 70 errors, presenting a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB), with 107 double plays recorded.
Randy Vasquez has pitched 258 innings in his professional career, accumulating 166 strikeouts. He holds an ERA of 4.04 (116 ER allowed) and a WHIP of 1.401, allowing 266 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 96 walks. His win-loss record stands at 11-15 with a FIP of 3.98, facing 1,125 batters in majors.
On the opposing side, the New York Mets hold a .327 team OBP and a .250 batting average this season. They have struck out 1,230 times (22nd in MLB) and registered 1,267 total hits. The Mets have launched 207 home runs and driven in 694 RBIs this season, boasting a slugging percentage of .428 and averaging 4.72 runs per game (11th in the league). The team has achieved 246 doubles and drawn 527 walks while scoring a total of 712 runs.
The Mets have a WHIP of 1.334 and a team FIP of 3.91 in 2025. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.70 (1,291 strikeouts against 529 walks). Currently, they rank 16th for total hits given up, conceding 1,250. The pitching staff has allowed 138 home runs and an average of 4.46 runs per 9 innings (18th among MLB teams). Their team ERA stands at 4.01, with a total of 661 runs surrendered this season.
This season, the Mets have been in 157 save situations, achieving 92 holds and suffering 27 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered 65 save opportunities, recording 38 saves. Additionally, they have faced high leverage situations 178 times and 161 times with runners on base. New York’s bullpen inherited 241 runners, with a scoring rate of 34.9%. Their save rate ranks 23rd in the league at 58.5%, having used 491 relievers over the season.
In their 12,006 innings, the Mets’ defensive efficiency stands at 68.8% (24th in MLB). They have executed 114 double plays and hold a .987 fielding percentage (10th in the league), logging 1,360 assists, 70 errors, and 4,002 putouts this season.
Jonah Tong has a career win-loss record of 1-2 with a high ERA of 8.84, allowing 10.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.86, having faced 55 batters during his MLB tenure. With 11 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.786, his FIP is 8.7. Overall, Tong has permitted 13 hits while registering 13 strikeouts across 11 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on San Diego (-144)
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