Matchup: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants
Scheduled Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Broadcast: NBC Bay Area
Betting Odds: San Diego (-160) San Francisco (+132)
In an exciting clash on Monday, the San Francisco Giants (58-57) will face off against the San Diego Padres (64-51) at Oracle Park. The moneyline for this game has San Diego favored at -160, while San Francisco is listed at +132. The over/under for runs is set at 9, with expected pitchers Yu Darvish and Logan Webb taking the mound.
The San Diego Padres have been averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking 24th in the league. They have scored a total of 476 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .320. The Padres also have 177 doubles and 98 home runs this season, registering 447 runs batted in (RBIs) and 966 hits, accompanied by a team batting average of .251. Their slugging percentage is .382, with 807 strikeouts and 367 walks.
Defensively, the Padres have a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.58, ranking 3rd in Major League Baseball, with 978 strikeouts achieved by their pitchers. The staff has allowed 113 home runs and 438 total runs, marking them 2nd in the league in that regard. The pitching unit has 373 walks with a FIP of 3.88, allowing 856 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and 404 earned runs overall. Their strikeout-to-walk (K/BB) ratio stands at 2.62, with a WHIP of 1.21.
San Diego’s bullpen has a save rate of 73.6%, having faced 135 save situations. They’ve inherited 189 runners this season, with 28.6% scoring. The pitchers have pitched with runners on base 134 times, showing up in 163 high-leverage scenarios. The team has utilized 405 relief pitchers thus far, recording 79 holds (4th in the league) and 39 saves, with 14 unsuccessful save opportunities out of 53 attempts.
In terms of defense, the Padres have logged 3,051 putouts, 880 assists, and 54 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 14th in the league. They’ve completed 89 double plays and have successfully turned 71.5% of batted balls into outs over 9,153 innings, ranking 2nd in MLB.
Yu Darvish, with 1,733 innings pitched, boasts 2,030 career strikeouts, an ERA of 3.62, and a career WHIP of 1.140. He has surrendered 1,420 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and 555 walks, holding a record of 111-91 along with a FIP of 3.57 against 7,128 batters faced.
On the flip side, the San Francisco Giants have recorded 109 home runs this season alongside 460 RBIs. They’ve accumulated 176 doubles, drawn 401 walks, and scored 481 runs with an OBP of .312 and a batting average of .234. They are averaging 4.18 runs per game (23rd in MLB) and have struck out 972 times (14th in the league) with 890 hits.
The Giants’ pitching unit has allowed 465 runs this year, resulting in a collective ERA of 3.65 with 413 earned runs conceded. They have given up 98 home runs and surrender 4.11 runs per game (9th in MLB). Their WHIP is 1.277, along with a FIP of 3.64. The strikeout-to-walk ratio for the staff is 8.70, with 985 strikeouts against 368 walks, ranking 13th in total hits allowed (932).
The San Francisco bullpen has a 33.3% scoring rate from inherited runners across 129 players. Pitchers have entered 131 high-leverage situations and appeared 83 times with runners on base. The Giants have registered 114 save opportunities, achieving 69 holds and 17 blown saves, placing them 16th in save percentage at 62.2%. In total, they’ve called upon 366 relief pitchers this season and secured 28 saves.
In defense, the Giants have recorded 87 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .984, ranking 23rd in MLB. They’ve set up 1,074 assists, 65 errors, and registered 3,054 putouts so far this season. Their defensive efficiency is at 68.9% across 9,162 innings, putting them 24th in Major League Baseball.
Logan Webb has allowed 960 hits in his professional career, achieving 935 strikeouts in 1,002 innings. With a career record of 65-50, he holds an impressive ERA of 3.39, permitting 8.6 hits per nine innings. He’s allowed 378 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.195 and a FIP of 3.3, along with a K/BB ratio of 3.93 against 4,108 batters faced.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s exciting MLB matchup—covering the spread or winning on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Select San Francisco (+132)
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