San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Prediction, 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers Game Prediction, 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Betting Odds: San Francisco (+106) Milwaukee (-128)

The San Francisco Giants (61-66) are heading to American Family Field on Saturday to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (79-48). Current betting lines show San Francisco at +106 and Milwaukee opening at -128, with an over/under set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers are projected to be Robbie Ray and Freddy Peralta.

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The Giants have recorded a slugging percentage of .376, with 1,072 strikeouts and 422 walks. They’ve amassed 488 RBIs and a total of 966 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .233. The team has 188 doubles and 119 home runs, having scored 509 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .309. San Francisco averages 4.1 runs per game, ranking 25th in the MLB.

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The Giants’ pitching staff boasts a collective ERA of 3.67 (5th in MLB) and has struck out 1,055 batters. They’ve allowed 108 home runs and given up 510 total runs (ranking 7th in the league). Their pitchers have issued 392 walks, with a season FIP of 3.67. San Francisco has allowed 1,026 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 452 earned runs. The team holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.28.

San Francisco’s bullpen has a save rate of 61.7% out of 117 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 138 runners this season, with 34.1% scoring. Bullpen pitchers have entered games with runners on base 88 times, showing up in 138 high-leverage situations. The Giants have deployed 397 relief pitchers this year, securing 70 holds (13th in MLB) and 29 saves while missing out on 18 of 47 save chances.

Meanwhile, the Seattle Mariners have totaled 3,324 putouts, 1,180 assists, and 73 errors this season. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 (23rd in the league), having turned 99 double plays. The Giants convert 68.7% of balls in play into outs over 9,972 innings, placing them at 27th in pro baseball.

Robbie Ray has pitched 1,412 innings in his career, amassing 1,706 strikeouts. With a career record of 87-79, he holds a FIP of 3.80 and has faced 5,969 batters. His career ERA stands at 3.86 (606 earned runs) and his WHIP is 1.281, having given up 1,217 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and issuing 592 walks.

The Brewers, on the other hand, have a team slugging percentage of .407 and are scoring an impressive 5.20 runs per game (1st in MLB). They’ve recorded 196 doubles, drawn 429 walks, and accumulated a total of 645 runs, including 134 home runs and 598 RBIs. With 979 strikeouts (24th in the league), they’ve achieved 1,091 hits and maintain an on-base percentage of .333 along with a batting average of .259 this season.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 477 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.56 (438 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 134 home runs, and allow 3.88 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The Brewers’ team WHIP is 1.226, and their FIP stands at 3.98, showcasing a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.80 (1,077 strikeouts to 410 walks). They rank 2nd in total hits allowed with 946.

The Brewers’ relief pitchers have inherited 167 runners with a score percentage of 31.7%. Bullpen pitchers have appeared in 142 high-leverage situations and 111 instances with runners on base. In 140 save opportunities, they’ve achieved 86 holds and 14 blown saves, ranking 3rd in MLB with a 72.0% save rate. A total of 425 relievers have been used this season, with 50 entering save situations and securing 36 saves.

Throughout 9,960 innings played, the Brewers have registered a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (3rd in MLB), turned 88 double plays, and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in baseball). They have accumulated 1,005 assists, 57 errors, and 3,320 putouts.

Freddy Peralta, with a career record of 68-41, has a 3.63 ERA and allows 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.18, having faced 3,718 batters across his career. He has given up 362 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.139 and a FIP of 3.6. Peralta has allowed 674 hits while accumulating 1,103 strikeouts over 896 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back San Francisco (+106)

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