Game: San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres
Date: Monday, August 18, 2025
Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (+125) vs. San Diego (-150)
The San Diego Padres (69-52) are set to face off against the San Francisco Giants (59-62) at Petco Park this Monday. The odds have the Giants listed at +125, while the Padres are favored at -150. The betting total for the matchup is set at 8 runs, featuring starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Nestor Cortes.

This season, the Giants have recorded 179 doubles and launched 113 home runs, boasting a slugging percentage of .373. They have struck out 1,027 times while drawing 410 walks. The team averages 4.1 runs per game, ranking 24th in the league, with a total of 470 RBIs and 931 hits, resulting in a batting average of .232. The Giants have scored 491 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .309.
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The Giants’ pitching staff has amassed a team ERA of 3.71 (ranked 5th in MLB) and has fanned 1,020 batters. This unit has surrendered 106 home runs and a total of 497 runs, placing 8th in the league. The pitchers have given away 386 walks and hold a collective FIP of 3.69. They’ve allowed 998 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 442 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.29.
This season, Giants pitchers have faced runners on base 85 times and appeared in 131 high-pressure situations. The bullpen has tallied 69 holds (13th in MLB) and a save rate of 62.2%, entering 114 save situations and securing 28 saves while failing in 17 of 45 opportunities. Relief pitchers have inherited 132 base runners, allowing 33.3% to score. Thus far, 385 relievers have taken the mound for the Giants this season.
The San Diego Padres have a total of 3,216 putouts, 1,140 assists, and 69 errors this season. Their fielding percentage is .984, ranking 23rd in MLB, with 96 double plays turned. The team has converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs over 9,648 innings, ranking 27th in the league.
Robbie Ray (career record 86-79) has a FIP of 3.82 after facing 5,943 batters. He has given up 1,214 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) along with 591 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.88, with 606 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.284. In 1,406 innings pitched, Ray has struck out 1,700 hitters throughout his career.
This season, the Padres have tallied 103 home runs and 477 RBIs, recording 190 doubles and 399 walks, alongside 509 runs scored. They boast an OBP of .323 with a batting average of .252. Their slugging percentage is .383, and they average 4.21 runs per game (22nd in the league), while striking out 840 times (28th in the league) with 1,022 hits.
The Padres’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.206 and a FIP of 3.82 this season, leading the league in total hits given up with 900. They have conceded 457 runs and possess a team ERA of 3.55 (with 423 earned runs). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,038 strikeouts to 393 walks), and they have allowed 116 home runs, giving up only 3.84 runs per 9 innings (ranked 2nd in the league).
So far, the Padres have recorded 143 save opportunities, earning 84 holds and experiencing 15 blown saves. Their relievers have taken the mound in 55 save situations, successfully recording 40 saves. Additionally, Padres relievers have made 170 appearances in high-leverage scenarios, with 142 of those having runners on base. They rank 3rd in MLB with a save percentage of 72.7%, dispatching 425 relievers this year.
The Padres have successfully turned 92 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (16th in the league). They have racked up 925 assists and 56 errors, with 3,216 putouts over 9,648 innings, resulting in a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (2nd in professional baseball).
Nestor Cortes Jr. (career record 34-22) holds a 3.86 ERA, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.46 after facing 2,412 opposing hitters. Cortes Jr. has allowed 251 earned runs in his career while maintaining a WHIP of 1.176 and a FIP of 3.8. Throughout his time, he has given up 517 hits and recorded 592 strikeouts in 585 innings.
Which team will emerge victorious tonight, against the spread or on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Choose San Diego (-150)
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