Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, July 18, 2025
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcasting: Sportsnet
Betting Odds: San Francisco (+126) Toronto (-152)
The much-anticipated game at Rogers Centre features the Toronto Blue Jays (55-41) facing off against the San Francisco Giants (52-45) this Friday. The moneyline for this matchup places San Francisco at +126 and Toronto at -152, with the total runs expected to be around 8. Starting pitchers for the game are slated to be Justin Verlander and Chris Bassitt.
The Giants have collectively produced 145 doubles and hit 89 home runs this season. They have a slugging percentage of .369 and have recorded 823 strikeouts, while generating 342 walks. As a team, the San Francisco Giants average 4.1 runs per game, placing them 22nd in the league. This year, they’ve achieved 379 RBIs and 730 hits, with a team batting average of .229. They have totaled 399 runs with an on-base percentage of .309.
The Giants boast a K/BB ratio of 2.73 along with a WHIP of 1.25 for their pitching staff. They’ve allowed 84 home runs and conceded 382 runs, ranking them 9th in the league. San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 771 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 334 earned runs, resulting in a season ERA of 3.50 (3rd in the MLB) and 828 strikeouts. The staff has walked 303 batters, with an overall FIP of 3.59 for the season.
This year, the Giants have used 304 relievers. These relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners, with a 33.0% score conversion rate. They’ve secured 26 saves and failed in 14 of 40 save attempts, leading to a 65.0% save rate across 106 high-pressure situations. They have also recorded 66 holds this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Giants relievers have inherited base runners 67 times this year.
At this point in the season, the Seattle Mariners boast 2,579 putouts, 911 assists, and 57 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, which ranks 24th in pro baseball. The Giants have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs, placing them 19th overall.
Justin Verlander has amassed a career total of 3,491 innings pitched and 3,483 strikeouts, maintaining an ERA of 3.33 (having allowed 1,292 earned runs). His career WHIP stands at 1.132, surrendering 2,974 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) alongside 978 walks. With a 262-154 overall record, Verlander holds a FIP of 3.28, facing 14,282 opposing hitters throughout his major league career.
The Toronto Blue Jays currently have an on-base percentage of .330 and a season batting average of .258. They have struck out 649 times (30th in the MLB) and made 838 hits. Toronto has achieved 101 home runs this year alongside 421 RBIs and maintains a slugging percentage of .404, averaging 4.58 runs per game (11th in the league). They’ve tallied 163 doubles while drawing 322 walks and scoring a total of 440 runs.
Toronto’s pitching staff maintains a team WHIP of 1.272 with a FIP of 4.28. Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.00 (with 854 strikeouts against 314 walks). They rank 12th in MLB for total hits given up, allowing 770 hits, and have surrendered 126 home runs, giving up 4.47 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Blue Jays have allowed 423 runs this season, resulting in a 4.16 ERA (394 earned runs allowed).
This season, Toronto’s relievers have faced 101 save situations, tallying 55 holds and 17 blown saves. Their bullpen has converted 28 of 45 save opportunities and appeared 93 times in crucial scenarios, having been on the mound 98 times with runners on base. The inherited runners for Toronto’s relief pitchers had a score conversion rate of 30.7% out of 137. They currently sit in 15th place for save rate at 62.2%, using 330 pitchers throughout the season.
Across 7,674 innings, the Blue Jays have recorded a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in pro baseball). Toronto has completed 69 double plays with a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in the league). This season, they have accumulated 720 assists, made 50 errors, and recorded 2,558 putouts.
Chris Bassitt has allowed 1,125 hits in his career while earning 1,129 strikeouts in 1,215 innings pitched. With an 81-60 win-loss record, Bassitt’s earned run average stands at 3.64, having given up 8.3 hits per nine innings and 491 earned runs. He holds a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 3.6, along with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92, having faced 5,138 batters in his professional career.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB game—covering the spread or winning on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on San Francisco (+126)
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