Match: San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CITY SC
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
Venue: PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
St. Louis CITY SC (6-7-17) travels to PayPal Park this Saturday to challenge the San Jose Earthquakes (9-8-13). The Earthquakes are favored at -144, while St. Louis is listed at +120. The over/under is set at 3 goals, with Daniel starting in goal for San Jose and Roman Burki defending the net for St. Louis.
The San Jose Earthquakes have recorded 96 saves, boasting a save percentage of 63.1% this season. Their goal differential stands at 0, with 55 goals scored and 55 goals conceded. Throughout the season, they average 1.17 points per game (totaling 35 points) and rank 6th in the league with 39 assists. The Earthquakes top the expected goals chart at 56.2, while their expected goals against are 49.8. This year, San Jose has received 77 yellow cards and 4 red cards, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per 90 minutes with 149 shots on target against them. They have achieved 4 clean sheets, reflecting a 13.3% success rate.
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On the other hand, CITY has a save percentage of 67.1%, having faced 155 shots on target and sits at 28th in MLS with 25 points. St. Louis CITY SC averages 0.8 points per match and has achieved a total of 24 assists alongside 4 red cards. With 36 goals scored this season, their expected goals are pegged at 43.4. St. Louis has maintained a shutout rate of 20.0%, accumulating 57 yellow cards. Their goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.70, with 105 saves, and they have achieved 6 clean sheets. Currently, they rank 23rd for goals conceded, with a total of 51 goals against and a goal difference of -15.
Goalkeeper Daniel is in charge of the San Jose net. He has played 5,250 minutes and has tallied 215 saves throughout his career. With a career record of 15-19-26, he has managed 8 clean sheets, equating to a clean sheet rate of 13.7%. Throughout his 60 starts, he has faced 310 shots, allowing an average of 1.62 goals per 90 minutes, totaling 95 goals conceded, and boasts a save percentage of 69.4%.
For St. Louis, Roman Burki will guard the goal. In his career, Burki has conceded 134 goals and made 297 saves across 86 starts. He allows 1.57 goals per 90 minutes and holds a record of 30-23-33 with a save percentage of 70.0%. His clean sheet rate stands at 22.3%, and he has recorded 19 shutouts while facing 424 shots over 7,681 minutes of play.
Cristian Arango is a vital player for San Jose. This Colombian forward has netted 65 goals in 9,000 professional minutes and has started 104 matches in his career, averaging 0.65 goals per 90 minutes. He has also provided 15 assists, accumulating 145 career points.
St. Louis counters with forward Klauss, who poses a significant threat. This Brazilian talent has played for 5,353 minutes and scored 24 goals, averaging 0.40 goals per 90 minutes. He has been a starter in 62 matches, with a total of 54 career points and 6 assists.
What’s your prediction for tonight’s game against the spread?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Bet on St. Louis CITY SC (-144)
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