Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Scheduled Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Seattle (-196) Baltimore (+162)
On Thursday, Oriole Park at Camden Yards will host an exciting clash between the Baltimore Orioles (53-66) and the Seattle Mariners (67-53). The betting line currently favors Seattle at -196, while Baltimore is listed at +162. The total runs projected for the game stand at 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Tomoyuki Sugano.
The Seattle Mariners have recorded 156 doubles this season, hitting 171 home runs in the process. With a slugging percentage of .411, they’ve struck out 1,062 times while also earning 408 walks. Overall, Seattle averages 4.6 runs per game, ranking 10th in the league. They’ve amassed 524 RBIs and 987 hits, holding a batting average of .243 and an on-base percentage of .321, totaling 547 runs.
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Seattle’s pitchers maintain a K/BB ratio of 2.84 with a cumulative WHIP of 1.23. They’ve allowed 140 home runs and 510 runs this season (15th in the league). The Mariners have surrendered 971 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 457 earned runs, portraying a team ERA of 3.81, ranking them 10th overall. They’ve fanned 1,018 batters and issued 358 walks, with a FIP of 4.05 this year.
Throughout the season, the Mariners have utilized 399 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 109 base runners, with 25.7% scoring. They’ve secured 31 saves from 51 opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 60.8%, making 117 appearances in save situations. With 66 holds, they currently sit 17th in the league. Mariners pitchers have appeared 101 times with runners on base and had 168 high-leverage situations.
The San Francisco Giants have accumulated 3,242 putouts this season, along with 1,004 assists and 47 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 4th in professional baseball. The Mariners have converted 71% of batted balls into outs over 9,726 innings, placing them 8th in the league.
Castillo has pitched 1,368 innings, striking out 1,451 batters over his career. With an ERA of 3.52 (allowing 535 ER) and a WHIP of 1.178, he has given up 1,167 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) while walking 444 batters. Castillo holds an 81-82 career record and a FIP of 3.47 after facing 5,652 batters in the majors.
The Orioles boast a team slugging percentage of .405, scoring an average of 4.28 runs per game (18th in the league). They’ve hit 193 doubles, achieved 321 walks, and scored 505 runs. Baltimore’s 144 home runs this year accompany 479 RBIs. They’ve struck out 1,020 times (11th in the league) and logged 945 hits, with a team OBP of .304 and a batting average of .240.
With a WHIP of 1.410 and a team FIP of 4.52, the Orioles rank 28th in MLB in total hits allowed (1,073). Their pitching staff has yielded 593 runs this season, resulting in an ERA of 4.85 (558 earned runs). The K/BB ratio stands at 8.40 (970 strikeouts to 387 walks). They’ve allowed 164 home runs and 5.16 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB).
Baltimore’s bullpen has inherited a score percentage of 22.4% from 161 base runners. Relievers have stepped in during high-pressure situations 122 times, with 118 having been called upon with runners on base. With 125 save opportunities, the Orioles have achieved 79 holds and experienced 15 blown saves, ranking 12th in league save rate at 65.1%. They’ve utilized 401 relievers throughout the season, converting 28 saves from 43 chances.
The Baltimore Orioles have executed 84 double plays and maintain a fielding average of .985 (19th in professional baseball). They’ve recorded 1,026 assists, 61 errors, and a total of 3,106 putouts this season. Over 9,318 innings on the field, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (28th in professional baseball).
Sugano has a career record of 9-5, with a 4.24 ERA, surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.58, facing 518 batters in his career. Sugano has allowed 57 earned runs, posted a WHIP of 1.306, and holds a FIP of 4.2. He has given up 127 hits while accumulating 80 strikeouts over 121 innings.
Who will ultimately secure victory tonight in this MLB matchup, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Seattle (-196)
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