Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers
Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit
Bets/Point Spread: Seattle (+102) Detroit (-122)
The Detroit Tigers (59-35) host the Seattle Mariners (48-45) at Comerica Park this Sunday. The betting line positions the Mariners at +102, while the Tigers are favored at -122. The over/under total stands at 8 runs, with Logan Gilbert and Jack Flaherty as the anticipated starting pitchers.
The Seattle Mariners are currently scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league. They have amassed 416 total runs, with a team on-base percentage of .322. The Mariners have recorded 130 doubles and a total of 125 home runs, alongside 403 RBIs and 787 hits this season, yielding a batting average of .246. With a slugging percentage of .407, they have struck out 820 times while drawing 314 walks.
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The Mariners’ strikeout to walk ratio currently stands at 2.67, with their pitching staff recording a WHIP of 1.26. Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 111 home runs and 405 runs (18th in the MLB). They’ve given up 776 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 365 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.90 (16th in baseball). The Mariners’ pitching staff has struck out 766 batters while issuing 287 walks, leading to a collective FIP of 4.14 this season.
With a save percentage of 57.5%, Mariners relievers have participated in 84 save situations, inheriting 78 runners with 26.9% scoring. The bullpen has entered games with runners on base 73 times and has made 125 high-leverage appearances. This season, the Mariners have used 309 relief pitchers, achieving 44 holds (23rd in MLB). They’ve accumulated 23 saves, with 17 blown opportunities out of 40 chances.
Seattle has converted 70.8% of balls put into play into outs, ranking 10th in professional baseball with 7,587 defensive innings. The San Francisco Giants have achieved 2,529 putouts, 797 assists, and 36 errors this year. Their fielding percentage stands at .989, placing them 5th in the league, with 74 double plays recorded.
Gilbert has pitched 759 innings and collected 790 strikeouts throughout his career. Presenting a career record of 43-33, he currently holds a FIP of 3.57, having faced 3,067 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.63 (306 earned runs allowed), with a career WHIP of 1.062. He has conceded 643 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and issued 163 walks.
The Detroit Tigers boast a team slugging percentage of .426, averaging 4.98 runs per game (6th in MLB). They’ve hit 150 doubles, while walking 306 times and accumulating 468 total runs. With 121 home runs this season, the Tigers have also achieved 449 RBIs. They’ve struck out 815 times (8th in the league) and recorded 801 total hits, resulting in an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .252.
Detroit’s pitching staff has surrendered 360 runs this year, with an ERA of 3.46 (321 earned runs). They’ve allowed 94 home runs and permit 3.88 runs per nine innings (4th in baseball). The Tigers’ team WHIP stands at 1.201, with a FIP of 3.74 this season, alongside a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (793 strikeouts against 267 walks). They rank 8th in the league for total hits conceded with 737.
Detroit’s bullpen has an inherited score rate of 24.8% among their 141 inherited runners. Their relievers have entered high-leverage situations 81 times and had 105 appearances with base runners. With 92 save chances, they’ve secured 50 holds and faced 12 blown saves. Ranking 7th in the league, they hold a save rate of 69.2%, deploying 289 bullpen pitchers this season, achieving 27 saves out of 39 save opportunities.
The Detroit Tigers have executed 77 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). With 809 assists, 43 errors, and 2,509 putouts this season, they’ve played 7,527 innings, yielding a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in MLB).
Flaherty, over his professional baseball career, has allowed 770 hits and recorded 1,059 strikeouts in 924 innings. He’s given up a total of 385 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.190 and a FIP of 3.7. With a K/BB ratio of 3.21, he has faced 3,839 batters in his career. Flaherty’s record stands at 60-50 with a 3.75 ERA, allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Opt for Detroit (-122)
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