Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Forecast, 8/15/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Forecast, 8/15/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, August 15, 2025

Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY

Broadcast: Sportsnet New York

Betting Odds: Seattle (-145) New York (+125)

The New York Mets (64-56) will host the Seattle Mariners (67-54) at Citi Field this Friday. Current odds place the Mariners at -145 and the Mets at +125, with a total set at 8 runs. Expected to take the mound are Luis Castillo for Seattle and Sean Manaea for New York.

MLB predictions and betting odds Jeff McNeil New York Mets

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The Mariners boast a slugging percentage of .409 and have struck out 1,076 times while drawing 410 walks. They have accumulated 528 RBIs and 999 hits this season, maintaining a team batting average of .243. Seattle has achieved 156 doubles and has hit 171 home runs, scoring a total of 551 runs with a team on-base percentage of .319. Collectively, the Mariners are averaging 4.6 runs per game, ranking 10th in the league.

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Seattle’s pitching staff has an ERA of 3.78 this season (10th in the league), recording 1,036 strikeouts. Mariners pitchers have allowed 141 home runs and yielded 514 total runs (14th in MLB). The team has walked 361 batters, with a FIP of 4.03. Seattle has allowed 985 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and has 461 earned runs. The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.87, alongside a WHIP of 1.23.

Mariners pitchers have faced players on base 103 times, appearing in high-leverage situations 173 times. The bullpen has secured 68 holds this season (15th in baseball) and has a 61.5% save percentage, converting 32 of 52 save situations. They’ve inherited 111 runners this year, with 26.1% of them scoring. A total of 405 relief pitchers have been deployed this season.

The Mariners have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs over their 9,885 innings, ranking 9th in Major League Baseball. The San Francisco Giants currently hold 3,295 putouts, along with 1,018 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .989, ranking 4th in the majors, with 89 double plays recorded this season.

Castillo, with an 81-82 career record, has a FIP of 3.47 after facing 5,652 batters in his MLB journey. He has conceded 1,167 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and issued 444 walks. His earned run average is 3.52 (535 earned runs allowed), alongside a WHIP of 1.178. Castillo has logged 1,368 innings and has struck out 1,451 hitters in his career.

The Mets have hit 154 home runs this season, resulting in 517 RBIs. They have totaled 190 doubles, drawn 417 walks, and scored 532 runs. The New York Mets carry a .320 on-base percentage and a .241 batting average. Their slugging percentage is .412, averaging 4.43 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have struck out 962 times (20th in MLB) and notched 966 hits.

The Mets’ pitching staff has allowed 499 runs this season with a 3.75 ERA (443 earned runs permitted). They have given up 110 home runs and surrendered 4.22 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Mets maintain a WHIP of 1.314 with a FIP of 3.92 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.60 (1,022 strikeouts against 433 walks), ranking 9th in total hits allowed with 965.

With 133 save opportunities, the Mets have achieved 78 holds and experienced 20 blown saves. The bullpen has been called upon in 55 save situations, successfully converting 35 saves. Their relievers have stepped in 150 times during high-leverage situations and 129 times with runners on base. The inherited run score rate sits at 34.4%, with 192 inherited runners. Currently, they rank 15th with a save percentage of 63.6%, using 394 relief pitchers this year.

The Mets have maintained a defensive efficiency of 69.6% over their 9,576 innings (18th in MLB). With 89 double plays, their fielding percentage is .987 (14th in MLB), amassing 1,088 assists, 58 errors, and 3,192 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Manaea has given up 1,112 hits while striking out 1,139 batters in 1,211 innings. Manaea holds a career record of 78-63 with a 4.01 ERA, allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 540 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.200 and a FIP of 4.0, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.34 against 5,047 batters faced.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Seattle (-145)

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