Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets
Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
Betting Odds: Seattle (-152) New York (+126)
At Citi Field, on Saturday, the New York Mets (64-56) will face off against the Seattle Mariners (67-54). The odds for this matchup show Seattle favored at -152, while New York opens at +126. The projected total for this game is set at 8 runs, with Bryan Woo and Clay Holmes taking the mound as the starting pitchers.
The Seattle Mariners have registered a total of 156 doubles and 171 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .409, they’ve struck out 1,076 times but also recorded 410 walks. As a team, the Mariners are averaging 4.6 runs per game, positioning them 10th in the league. They’ve amassed 528 runs batted in and 999 hits, maintaining a batting average of .243, along with a .319 on-base percentage.
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The Mariners’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.87 and maintains a WHIP of 1.23. To date, they’ve given up 141 home runs and 514 runs in total (ranking 14th in the league). Seattle has allowed 985 hits (averaging 8.1 hits every 9 innings) and recorded 461 earned runs. Their team earned run average stands at 3.78, putting them 10th in baseball, while they’ve tallied 1,036 strikeouts this season. Additionally, their FIP is 4.03.
The Mariners’ bullpen has entered the game with players on base 103 times and has made 173 appearances in high-leverage scenarios. They have managed to secure 68 holds this season (ranked 15th in MLB). The relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.5%, having stepped onto the mound in 120 save opportunities, with 32 saves but 20 blown saves. So far, they’ve inherited 111 runners, with 26.1% of those crossing home plate. Overall, the Mariners have utilized 405 relievers this year.
The San Francisco Giants have recorded 3,295 putouts this season, compiling 1,018 assists along with 49 errors. Their defensive fielding percentage is .989, ranking them 4th in baseball, and the team has converted 89 double plays. The Mariners have achieved an efficiency of 70.9% on balls hit in play across 9,885 innings, placing them 9th in professional baseball.
Woo (career record 23-14) holds a FIP of 3.25, having faced 1,417 hitters in the major leagues. He’s allowed 284 hits (averaging 7.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 70 walks, with an ERA of 3.30 (yielding 130 earned runs) and a WHIP of 0.997. Over 355 innings, Woo has struck out 339 batters throughout his career.
The New York Mets have achieved a team OBP of .320 and a batting average of .241 this year. They’ve recorded 962 strikeouts (ranking 20th) and accumulated 966 hits. This season, the Mets have hit 154 home runs and driven in 517 runs, standing with a team slugging percentage of .412 and averaging 4.43 runs per game (13th in the league). They have also registered 190 doubles and 417 walks, resulting in 532 total runs scored.
The Mets’ pitching corps holds a WHIP of 1.314, alongside a FIP of 3.92 this season. They rank 9th in total hits allowed (965) and have surrendered 499 runs with a team ERA of 3.75 (443 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.60 (1,022 strikeouts to 433 walks), giving up 110 home runs and allowing 4.22 runs per 9 innings (ranking 12th in baseball).
With 133 save opportunities, the Mets have 78 holds and 20 blown saves. They’ve called upon their relievers in 55 save situations, successfully converting 35 into saves. New York’s bullpen has taken the field in 150 high-pressure scenarios and 129 times with runners aboard. The inherited score percentage for their relievers is 34.4%, ranking 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%. This season, they’ve fielded 394 relief pitchers.
Across 9,576 innings played, the Mets showcase a defensive efficiency of 69.6%, ranking 18th among MLB teams. With 89 double plays turned, their fielding percentage currently rests at .987 (14th in baseball), while they have amassed 1,088 assists, 58 errors, and 3,192 putouts this season.
Holmes, with a career record of 33-28, maintains a 3.71 ERA and allows 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.25, having faced 2,000 batters in his MLB career. He’s allowed a total of 191 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.315, coupled with a FIP of 3.7. Throughout his career, Holmes has given up 404 hits while achieving 461 strikeouts over 463 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Seattle (-152)
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