Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees
Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Odds: Seattle (+126), New York (-152)
The legendary Yankee Stadium will witness the New York Yankees (49-41) facing off against the Seattle Mariners (48-42) this Tuesday. Current betting odds place the Mariners at +126 while the Yankees stand at -152. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs. Expected starters are Logan Gilbert for Seattle and Will Warren for New York.

The Seattle Mariners are currently averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 13th in the MLB. They have accumulated a total of 402 runs with an on-base percentage of .322. The Mariners have secured 126 doubles and launched 119 home runs this season. Their total of 389 RBIs comes from 764 hits, translating to a batting average of .247. Seattle boasts a slugging percentage of .406 but has also struck out 792 times while drawing 304 walks.
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The Mariners have recorded a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.70 and a collective WHIP of 1.25. So far, Mariners pitchers have allowed 105 home runs and 380 runs (16th in MLB). They have given up 744 hits (averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 342 earned runs this season, leading to a team ERA of 3.77 (12th in the league). Additionally, the Mariners’ pitchers have struck out 747 batters while issuing 277 walks, with a team FIP of 4.09.
Seattle’s relief pitchers have achieved a 59.0% save rate across 83 opportunities. This bullpen has inherited 73 baserunners, with 23.3% of those scoring. Mariners’ relievers have entered 68 times with runners on base and have faced 123 high-pressure situations. Their season totals include 44 holds (23rd in MLB) and 23 saves, with 16 blown saves out of 39 attempts.
Defensively, the Mariners have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs over 7,356 innings, placing them 8th in Major League Baseball. The team has amassed 2,452 putouts, 774 assists, and committed 34 errors this season, achieving a fielding percentage of .990, ranking 4th overall, including 72 double plays.
Logan Gilbert holds a career total of 754 innings pitched with 785 strikeouts. Gilbert’s career win-loss record stands at 43-32 with a FIP of 3.54. Thus far, he has faced 3,043 batters, allowing an ERA of 3.59 (301 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.057, giving up 636 hits (averaging 7.6 hits per nine innings) and 161 walks.
The New York Yankees have hit 140 home runs this season, ranking them among the top teams with 442 RBIs and 158 doubles. With an on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .255, the Yankees lead in slugging percentage at .453, averaging 5.13 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have struck out 801 times (ranked 4th) while tallying 782 hits.
As a pitching staff, the Yankees possess a WHIP of 1.218 and a team FIP of 3.86. They are second in the league in total hits allowed, with 666, and have given up 367 runs, holding a team ERA of 3.84 (339 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at an impressive 9.20 (809 strikeouts vs. 301 walks), allowing an average of 4.16 runs per nine innings (14th in MLB).
The Yankees’ relief unit has inherited 150 base runners, yielding a scoring percentage of 25.3%. Their bullpen has appeared in 88 high-leverage situations and faced 97 runners-on-base scenarios. Tallied 86 save opportunities, the Yankees have recorded 51 holds and experienced 10 blown saves, boasting a save percentage of 70.6%, ranking 5th across MLB.
Defensively, the Yankees have turned 58 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). They have achieved 763 assists, committed 44 errors, and recorded 2,384 putouts this season. With a defensive efficiency of 71.3%, they stand 4th in MLB over 7,152 innings played.
Will Warren, in his MLB career, has allowed 114 hits while recording 136 strikeouts over 106 innings. With a 5-7 win-loss record, Warren holds an ERA of 6.18, giving up 9.7 hits per nine innings with a total of 73 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.533 and a FIP of 6.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.78, having faced 483 batters throughout his career.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup? Can the Mariners cover the spread or secure a moneyline win?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Seattle (+126)
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