Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Sacramento Athletics
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Venue: Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA
Broadcast: NBC Sports California
Betting Odds: Seattle (-132) Sacramento (+110)
The Sacramento Athletics (43-62) are set to face off against the Seattle Mariners (55-48) at Sutter Health Park this Monday. The Mariners are favored with a line of -132, while Sacramento stands at +110. The total runs projected for this game is set at 8.5. Starting pitchers for the matchup are Luis Castillo and JP Sears.
The Mariners have showcased a slugging percentage of .412, with 916 strikeouts and 350 walks recorded so far. They have scored a total of 456 RBIs and achieved 874 hits in the current season, resulting in a batting average of .247. This unit has successfully produced 146 doubles and belted out 142 home runs, accumulating 474 runs overall with an on-base percentage of .323. Seattle averages 4.6 runs per game, placing them 11th in Major League Baseball.
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As for pitching performance, Seattle’s staff boasts a collective ERA of 3.91 (16th overall), striking out 867 hitters throughout the season. Mariners pitchers have yielded 116 home runs and given up 455 runs (ranking 20th). Their walk count stands at 320, with a FIP of 4.03. Seattle has recorded 864 hits (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) and 406 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and a WHIP of 1.27.
This season, the Mariners have utilized 347 relief pitchers, facing 94 inherited runners with 27.7% scoring. They’ve converted 25 saves from 44 opportunities, resulting in a 56.8% save rate with 100 total saves attempted. Their bullpen has recorded 56 holds this season (ranked 19th), entering the game with opponents on base 86 times, alongside 145 high-pressure appearances.
Defensively, the Mariners have turned 70.2% of balls into outs, totaling 8,415 innings played, which ranks them 13th in the league. The San Francisco Giants stand with 2,805 putouts, 883 assists, and 46 errors, contributing to a fielding percentage of .988, positioning them 7th among professional baseball teams, and tallying 81 double plays.
Pitcher Luis Castillo (career record 80-82) has a FIP of 3.48, facing 5,582 batters in his MLB career. He’s allowed 1,153 hits (7.7 per nine innings) and issued 443 walks. His earned run average stands at 3.53, totaling 530 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.182 over 1,350 innings, amassing 1,438 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Sacramento Athletics have recorded 135 home runs and 428 RBIs this season, with 178 doubles while having drawn 328 walks, totaling 443 runs. Their team on-base percentage is .314, culminating in a batting average of .249. The Athletics sport a slugging percentage of .419, averaging 4.22 runs per game, placing them 20th in MLB. They have struck out 903 times (6th in the league), accumulating a total of 890 hits.
On the pitching side, the Athletics have conceded 586 runs this season, possessing a team ERA of 5.20 (with 537 earned runs). They’ve allowed 156 home runs and an average of 5.68 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). Their WHIP stands at 1.427, alongside a FIP of 4.86. With a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (840 strikeouts against 374 walks), they are 29th in total hits allowed with 952.
Sacramento’s relief pitching has been called upon for 41 save opportunities, securing 24 saves and ranking 21st in the league with a 58.5% save success rate. They’ve utilized 328 relievers this season, entering 98 high-pressure situations and 113 with runners on base. The inherited run score rate stands at 32.5% from 160 inherited runners. The Athletics have dealt with 86 save situations, earned 45 holds, and recorded 17 blown saves.
On the defensive side, the Athletics have achieved 68 double plays, showcasing a fielding percentage of .982 (27th overall). They have made 771 assists, committed 65 errors, and recorded 2,787 putouts over their games. In 8,361 innings played, they maintain a defensive efficiency rate of 68.7% (ranking 26th in the league).
Starting pitcher JP Sears (29-38 career record) maintains a 4.49 earned run average, allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.91, having faced 2,233 batters in his professional career. He’s conceded 264 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.4, allowing 511 hits and striking out 440 batters over 529 innings.
Which team will secure victory in tonight’s MLB matchup, against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Take Seattle (-132)
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