- Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Seattle (+102) Toronto (-122)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) will face off against the Seattle Mariners (90-72) on Sunday in Game 6 of the American League Championship Series at Rogers Centre. The moneyline for this matchup lists Seattle at +102 and Toronto at -122, with the over/under line set at 7 runs. The starting pitchers for this game will be Logan Gilbert and Trey Yesavage.
The Seattle Mariners are currently scoring an average of 4.7 runs per game, positioning them 10th in MLB standings. With a total of 766 runs scored this season, their on-base percentage stands at .320. The Mariners have recorded 234 doubles and hit 238 home runs throughout the season. They have achieved 734 RBIs and managed 1,345 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .244. Their slugging percentage is .420, with 1,446 strikeouts and 544 walks drawn.
They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.14, and their pitching lineup holds a WHIP of 1.22. Mariners pitchers have conceded 192 home runs and allowed 694 runs overall (17th in MLB). The team has given up 1,331 hits (averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 629 earned runs, resulting in an earned run average (ERA) of 3.87, ranking 13th in the league. The Mariners’ pitching staff has struck out 1,426 batters while allowing 454 walks, with a collective FIP of 3.98 this season.
Mariners relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 132 times and have participated in 216 high-leverage situations. They have accumulated 90 holds this season (ranking 13th in MLB) and posted a save rate of 62.3% from 159 save opportunities, successfully converting 43 saves while failing to close 26 saves. The bullpen has dealt with 147 inherited runners, with 25.2% of those scoring. This year, the Mariners have utilized 550 relief pitchers.
Defensively, the Mariners have turned 70.3% of balls in play into outs over 13,164 innings, ranking 12th in MLB. The San Francisco Giants have posted 4,388 putouts this season, alongside 1,355 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .988, ranking them 7th in MLB, and they have executed 118 double plays.
In his career, Logan Gilbert has pitched 835 innings, accruing 884 strikeouts with an ERA of 3.58 (332 earned runs). His career WHIP is 1.059, allowing 703 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and issuing 181 walks. Gilbert holds a win-loss record of 47-36 with a FIP of 3.52, having faced 3,377 batters in his major league tenure.
The Toronto Blue Jays feature an on-base percentage of .333 and a batting average of .265 this season. They have struck out 1,099 times (29th in MLB) while achieving 1,461 hits. Toronto has hit 191 home runs and recorded 771 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .427, and they average 4.93 runs per game (4th in MLB). The Blue Jays have tallied 294 doubles, with 520 walks and a total of 798 runs scored.
On the mound, the Blue Jays have allowed 721 runs this season and have a collective ERA of 4.18 (668 earned runs). They have given up 209 home runs and let in 4.51 runs per nine innings (ranking 19th in MLB). The team’s WHIP is 1.273 with a FIP of 4.27. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.90, with 1,430 strikeouts against 517 walks. Toronto ranks 14th in allowed hits with a total of 1,313.
Blue Jays relievers have an inherited scoring percentage of 27.6% from 254 inherited runners. They have faced 156 high-leverage situations and made 178 appearances with base runners on. In 168 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 96 holds and 23 blown saves, boasting a save rate of 64.6% and sending 570 relief pitchers to the mound this year. They have converted 42 out of 65 save opportunities.
In 12,942 innings played, the Blue Jays’ defensive efficiency is 70.0% (14th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have executed 118 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB), recording 1,272 assists, 86 errors, and 4,314 putouts this season.
Trey Yesavage has allowed 13 hits and recorded 16 strikeouts in his 14 innings pitched during his MLB career. He has given up 5 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.429 and a FIP of 3.2. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.29, he has faced 62 hitters so far in his career, and he carries a record of 1-0 along with a 3.21 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Toronto (-122) and the under 8 runs
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