Seattle Redhawks vs St. Mary’s Gaels Prediction for 1/4/2026: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Seattle Redhawks vs St. Mary’s Gaels Prediction for 1/4/2026: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Seattle Redhawks vs. St. Mary’s Gaels
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The University Credit Union Pavilion will host a thrilling matchup as the St. Mary’s Gaels (13-2) face off against the Seattle Redhawks (12-3) this Sunday.

College Basketball Predictions - Brayden Maldonado Seattle Redhawks Best Bets

In their previous game, the Seattle Redhawks secured a victory over Washington State, winning 69-55. They showcased their shooting skills with a field goal percentage of 42.6%, hitting 20 of 47 attempts, along with making 10 of 24 three-point shots. At the free throw line, Seattle converted 19 of 25 attempts for a 76% success rate. On the boards, they collected 23 rebounds, including 2 offensive. They also provided 14 assists while forcing 19 turnovers and causing 12 steals defensively. Washington State managed only a 29.7% shooting percentage, making 19 of 64 attempts. Despite gathering 50 rebounds (21 offensive and 29 defensive), they struggled from the free throw line, converting just 13 of 23 attempts (56.5%) and landing 4 of 27 attempts from three-point range. Both teams committed 19 personal fouls.

Brayden Maldonado had a notable impact in this game, scoring 15 points on 3 of 9 shooting while logging 30 minutes on the court. He also grabbed 3 rebounds but didn’t record any assists.

The Redhawks come into this clash with a 12-3 record this season, averaging 78.7 points per game, ranking 157th nationally, on a shooting percentage of 47.7%. Their three-point shooting stands at 34.9%, with 109 successful shots out of 312 attempts, and a free throw percentage of 71.1%. As a team, Seattle averages 35.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 215 assists this season, good for 111th in Division I. They average 12.1 turnovers and commit 16.5 fouls per outing.

Defensively, the Redhawks force 15.7 turnovers per game and average 18.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 124th in Division I for assists allowed, with a total of 169 this season. Opponents have a shooting percentage of 39.4% against Seattle, with the Redhawks allowing 34.3 rebounds per game. They limit opponents to 30.0% shooting from beyond the arc, positioning them 31st nationally in points allowed per game (65.8).

In their last matchup, the St. Mary’s Gaels dominated Pepperdine, finishing with a 72-45 victory. They allowed a mere 22 rebounds to Pepperdine (only 6 on the offensive end). St. Mary’s struggled from three-point range, hitting only 17.4% on 4 of 23 attempts, but did make 75% at the free throw line (3 of 4). They held Pepperdine to a 34.5% shooting percentage, allowing 19 successful shots out of 55 attempts. The Gaels, meanwhile, shot 52.8% from the floor, sinking 28 of 53 attempts, and 35.3% from three-point range with 6 of 17 shots going in. They were awarded 10 free throws, converting all 10. Additionally, St. Mary’s recorded 8 steals and rebounded with a total of 33 (27 defensive, 6 offensive).

Paulius Murauskas contributed significantly, scoring 19 points on 8 of 15 shooting (53.3%) and grabbing 5 rebounds in 29 minutes on the floor, along with adding 2 assists.

The Gaels hold a 13-2 record on the season. They average 15.8 personal fouls per game and have an impressive free throw success rate of 80.7%. St. Mary’s distributes 14.1 assists per game (ranking 211th nationally) and averages 11.4 turnovers. They have scored 1,178 total points this season (78.5 points per game) and secure 40.0 rebounds per contest, with their field goal percentage at 46.6%, ranking them 129th in college basketball.

On the defensive end, St. Mary’s allows 29.5% shooting on three-point attempts (94 out of 319) and 73.5% at the free throw line. They relinquish an average of 12.3 assists and 29.1 rebounds per game, for which they are ranked 102nd and 7th, respectively, in college hoops. Their defense is especially strong, placing 15th in Division I in points allowed per game (63.6). They have averaged 11.1 forced turnovers and maintain an opponent field goal percentage of 39.8% (49th in college).

Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA match against the spread?

Pick: Go with Seattle

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Pick: Seattle Redhawks
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