Following one of the most chaotic weeks in recent NFL history, it’s time to pick ourselves up and look ahead. We need to gather up our losing tickets and move forward.
This is especially true if your tickets didn’t win. We sidestepped the chaos that led many bettors to despair, taking a different route by focusing on three unique team totals for the primetime games.
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The Bills and Lions exceeded their expectations, but the New York Giants fell significantly short. While I don’t anticipate hitting a perfect 3-0 once more this week, we’ll give it our best shot!
Regardless, the Thursday Night Football showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals is tough to forecast. As you’ll see shortly, the sportsbooks aren’t making it any easier, with the point spread currently at a pick’em.
Few could have predicted that the NFC West would be the strongest division in the NFL now, boasting nine wins total. The NFC North follows with just seven victories.
Both the Seahawks and Cardinals enter this Week 4 matchup at 2-1. This isn’t entirely unexpected, especially considering that both teams have relied heavily on their defenses. Each defense ranks within the top 5 in the league for points allowed per game.
As anticipated, the point total for this game is low, primarily due to the presence of two outstanding defenses. Additionally, with the game occurring on a short week, it usually complicates offensive coordination compared to a full week of preparation.
Seattle Seahawks (pk) at Arizona Cardinals (pk)
We initially set the line around (-2.5) for the Cardinals at home in this division clash, which seems fitting for two winning teams that are well-acquainted and play sound defensive football.
However, the betting market has shifted, with significant backing for the Seahawks in this Thursday night contest. In fact, around 80% of both the bets and the money have favored Seattle. It’s essential to note, though, that this trend got us to this point. The bulk of the wagers were placed on Seattle when they held plus money odds.
Point Total: 43.5
Logic might suggest this is a solid under play. Unfortunately, straightforward reasoning doesn’t always translate to winning bets. While both defenses are well-ranked and familiar with each other, the short week complicates things further. On the flip side, both teams possess potentially explosive passing attacks, supported by skilled quarterbacks and talented wide receivers.
Team totals have previously favored us, but I have reservations regarding this particular game.
- Moneyline Odds
- Seahawks: -110
- Cardinals: -110
Will you back the superior team or the home squad?
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Betting Analysis
Let’s discuss injuries. The Cardinals’ reliable running back James Conner will have foot surgery, sidelining him for the rest of the regular season. While losing a running back typically doesn’t weigh heavily in analysis,
Second-year running back Trey Benson from Florida State has stepped into the RB1 role, and while his average yards per carry appears reasonable, a deeper examination reveals that several long runs inflate his 6.0 yards-per-carry average. Excluding his three longest runs, Benson’s stats show 18 carries for just 31 yards.
Interestingly, these teams share two common opponents so far, both having lost to San Francisco; however, Seattle faced a healthy 49ers team led by Purdy in Week 1. Arizona managed a narrow victory against the Saints, while Seattle had a more convincing win on Sunday.
This season, the Cardinals have excelled in the turnover battle, while the Seahawks have been even in giveaways and takeaways. This situation suggests that Arizona has enjoyed a bit more fortune thus far.
Both teams are evenly matched in running and defensive capabilities, but the Seahawks hold a notable advantage in their passing offense, ranking in the top 5 in the league, whereas Arizona is struggling to throw for an average of 150 yards per game.
I’ll side with the better team as they head into this short-week battle.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Betting Pick
Pick: Seattle Seahawks Moneyline (-110)
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