Siena Saints vs Merrimack Warriors Prediction for 3/10/2026: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Siena Saints vs Merrimack Warriors Prediction for 3/10/2026: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Siena Saints vs Merrimack Warriors
  • Scheduled Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Venue: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ
  • Broadcast: ESPN2

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The Merrimack Warriors (23-10) are set to clash with the Siena Saints (22-11) at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall on Tuesday for the MAAC Championship.

College Basketball Predictions: Justice Shoats and Siena Saints Best Bets

The Siena Saints recently secured a victory against Fairfield with a score of 76-61. The Saints recorded 10 personal fouls compared to Fairfield’s 19. Siena successfully made 6 out of 23 attempts from beyond the arc. Fairfield was perfect from the free throw line, hitting 5 of 5. They also gathered 34 rebounds (13 offensive, 21 defensive) but failed to register any blocks. Fairfield notched 12 assists and made 6 steals in this matchup. Defensively, Siena allowed their opponent to shoot 36.2% from the field, having a total of 25 baskets from 69 attempts. The Saints managed 18 assists in this contest, forced 5 turnovers, and made 3 steals. They secured 38 rebounds, with 9 being offensive. At the free throw line, Siena converted 19 out of 26 attempts, translating to a 73.1% rate. The Saints finished with a field goal percentage of 46.2% (24 of 52) and made 9 of 17 three-point attempts.

Justice Shoats was a standout player in this game, contributing 26 points on 8 of 15 shooting. He played the entire game, collecting 3 rebounds and finishing with a shooting percentage of 53.3%, along with 4 assists.

The Siena Saints carry a record of 22-11 for the season. They average 10.2 turnovers per game and commit approximately 13.8 fouls each night. As a team, the Saints grab 33.9 rebounds per game and have accumulated 443 assists in total, ranking 167th in D-1 for passing. The Saints hit 30.6% of their three-point attempts (179 of 585) and 76.6% from the charity stripe. They score an average of 70.7 points per game (291st in the nation) while shooting at an efficiency of 45.9% from the floor.

On the defensive front, the Saints force 11.2 turnovers per game and are called for 16.6 fouls. They rank 77th nationally in assists surrendered, allowing 380 throughout the season. Siena’s defense permits opponents a shooting percentage of 42.6% (788 of 1,851) and gives up an average of 31.8 rebounds per game. They allow 32.8% shooting from beyond the arc and rank 19th in the U.S. for points allowed per game (66.0).

In their last matchup, the Merrimack Warriors edged out Marist with a narrow victory, finishing 58-57. On the glass, Merrimack allowed Marist to collect 33 rebounds in total (9 offensive). They shot 36.4% from the three-point range, hitting 4 of their 11 attempts, and converted 7 of 10 free throws (70.0%). Marist recorded 23 baskets from 54 attempts, yielding a shooting percentage of 42.6%. Merrimack, in comparison, shot 20 for 54 (37.0%). For three-point shooting, the Warriors made 5 of their 17 attempts (29.4%). They successfully converted 13 of their free throw opportunities for a rate of 76.5%. Marist committed 14 fouls, leading to 17 free throw opportunities for the Warriors. They made 12 steals in this contest while allowing 8 turnovers. Merrimack secured a total of 22 rebounds, including 16 defensive and 6 offensive boards.

Tye Dorset proved pivotal for the Warriors, hitting 10 of 17 from the field, resulting in a shooting percentage of 58.8%, and secured 6 rebounds. He tallied 23 points over 40 minutes of play and added 2 assists.

Merrimack holds a 23-10 record for the current season. They average 16.3 fouls per game and boast a free throw success rate of 78.8%. The Warriors provide 12.5 assists per matchup (ranked 284th in the nation) and turn the ball over about 9.7 times each game. For the season, Merrimack has scored 2,276 points (69.0 per game) and averages 28.8 rebounds.

Defensively, Merrimack allows a 30.4% success rate on three-point shots (181 of 595) and lets opponents convert 73.1% from the free throw line. They surrender an average of 13.1 assists and 37.8 rebounds per game, ranking 159th and 341st respectively in college basketball. The Warriors are 26th in the nation for points given up, allowing 66.5 per game. They successfully force 13.1 turnovers per contest and restrict teams to a 41.9% shooting percentage from the floor (57th in D-1).

Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA game against the spread?

Prediction: Back Siena

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Pick: Siena Saints
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