- Matchup: SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals
- Scheduled Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
- Venue: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
- Broadcast: ESPN
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The SMU Mustangs (19-12) will face off against the Louisville Cardinals (22-9) at the Spectrum Center this Wednesday during the ACC Tournament.
In their last outing, the SMU Mustangs battled against Florida State but suffered a defeat with a final score of 91-78. Throughout the game, the Mustangs committed 22 personal fouls, while Florida State recorded 18. SMU managed to make 16 of their 34 attempts from beyond the arc. Florida State’s free-throw shooting was at a rate of 62.5%, successfully converting 15 out of 24 attempts. In terms of rebounds, Florida State collected 26 total boards (5 offensive, 21 defensive) but did not register a block. They also dished out 19 assists and had 10 steals. Defensively, SMU allowed Florida State to shoot 51.7% from the field, with their opponents making 30 of 58 shots. SMU tallied 11 assists, forced 11 turnovers, and achieved 7 steals. On the rebounding front, they secured 32 boards, including 14 offensive rebounds. The Mustangs shot 58.8% from the free-throw line, hitting 10 of 17 attempts. Their field goal percentage stood at 42.4% (28 out of 66), alongside 12 successful 3-pointers out of 31.
One standout player was Kevin Miller, who demonstrated impressive efficiency, shooting 55.0% from the field. He notched 4 assists, played for 39 minutes, and also grabbed 3 rebounds, contributing 32 points with 11 successful shots out of 20.
The Mustangs come into this matchup with a 19-12 overall season record. They are averaging 85.0 points per game, ranking 20th in Division 1, with a shooting percentage of 49.3%. SMU hits 37.8% of their 3-point attempts (259 of 685) and maintains a 74.2% free-throw rate. Team-wise, the Mustangs gather 37.6 rebounds per game and have distributed 529 assists this season—ranking 41st in the college basketball landscape. They average 11.4 turnovers and commit 17.2 fouls per game.
On the defensive end, SMU forces their opponents into an average of 12.3 turnovers per game while committing 17.5 fouls. They restrict opponents to 34.4% on their 3-point attempts and are currently ranked 306th in points allowed per game (78.4). The Mustangs are conceding a shooting percentage of 43.5% (835 of 1,919) and allow 34.3 rebounds on average, ranking 339th in assists surrendered with a total of 512 for the season.
In their recent game, the Louisville Cardinals clinched a victory against Miami, finishing 92-89. They managed to secure 14 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 19 rebounds. The Cardinals committed 6 turnovers while achieving 4 steals in the game. Miami incurred 18 personal fouls, allowing Louisville to attempt 21 free throws, converting 14 for a shooting percentage of 66.7%. The Cardinals succeeded in hitting 12 out of 24 3-point attempts (50.0%). At the end of the game, Louisville shot an impressive 60.4%, making 32 of their 53 attempts, while Miami shot 56.4% from the field (31 out of 55). The Cardinals were able to limit Miami to just 25 rebounds (8 offensive).
Ryan Conwell played a pivotal role for Louisville in this match, finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% after converting 7 out of 14 attempts. He recorded 24 points in 37 minutes and added 2 assists and 2 rebounds to his stats.
The Cardinals hold a solid record of 22-9 this season. On average, they commit 18.6 fouls per game, with a successful free-throw percentage of 77.1%. Louisville averages 17.4 assists per game, ranking 21st in college basketball, while turning the ball over 11.6 times per match. Having scored a total of 2,662 points this season, the Cardinals average 85.9 points per game and pull down 38.7 rebounds per outing. Offensively, they boast a shooting percentage of 47.2%, placing them 63rd in the nation.
The Cardinals’ defense allows opponents 32.6% success from beyond the arc (237 of 728) and they limit free throw shooting to 71.6%. They concede 12.3 assists per game and collect 33.1 total rebounds per match, ranking 91st and 99th in those categories. In points allowed per game, the Cardinals rank 139th with an average of 72.5 points. They create 11.9 turnovers per game and have restricted opponents to a shooting percentage of 42.2% (68th in college basketball).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?
Recommendation: Back Louisville
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