Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers Forecast for 2/16/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers Forecast for 2/16/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
  • Matchup: Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers
  • Date: Monday, February 16, 2026
  • Venue: H&PE Arena, Houston, TX
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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This Monday, the Southern Jaguars (11-13) are set to face off against the Texas Southern Tigers (7-15) at H&PE Arena in Houston.

College Basketball Predictions: Bryce Roberts, Texas Southern Tigers - Best Bets and Odds

The Southern Jaguars recently secured a narrow victory against Alabama State, finishing 69-68. In that contest, the Jaguars incurred 15 personal fouls, whereas Alabama State had 19. Southern converted 9 of their 22 three-point attempts and Alabama State hit 65.2% from the free throw line, sinking 15 of their 23 attempts. Although Alabama State collected 39 rebounds (with 12 offensive), they recorded no blocks. They managed 9 assists and made 6 steals throughout the game. Defensively, Southern held Alabama State to a 41.5% shooting efficiency from the field (22 of 53). The Jaguars contributed 11 assists while forcing 17 turnovers, gaining 13 steals. On the boards, Southern grabbed 31 rebounds, including 10 on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, they converted 19 of 25 for an impressive 76.0% success rate. The Jaguars finished with a 38.6% field goal percentage (22 out of 57) and connected on 6 of their 23 attempts from beyond the arc.

AJ Barnes played a pivotal role in the game, scoring 12 points on 5 of 9 shooting, adding 5 rebounds during his 30 minutes on the court. His field goal percentage stood at an impressive 55.6%, though he did not register any assists.

Entering this matchup, Southern carries a record of 11-13. They are scoring an average of 80.3 points per game (ranking 96th nationally) with a shooting percentage of 45.3% from the floor. From the three-point line, the Jaguars are successful 33.2% of the time (164 of 494), and they convert 69.5% of their free throw attempts. As a team, they are grabbing 36.2 boards per game and have accumulated 353 assists this season, placing them 185th in Division 1 for assists. Southern gives up possession 12.3 times per game and commits an average of 19.2 fouls each contest.

Defensively, the Jaguars force an average of 15.4 turnovers per game while drawing 19.1 fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 35.5% from three-point range and are ranked 302nd in the nation for points allowed per game (78.5). The Jaguars’ defense permits a field goal percentage of 44.9% (623 of 1,387) and they concede 36.1 rebounds on average. In terms of assists given up, they are ranked 200th in college, allowing a total of 340 this season.

In their most recent outing, the Texas Southern Tigers fell to Bethune-Cookman by a score of 79-69. On the boards, the Tigers allowed 39 rebounds (12 offensive) to their opponents and finished the game with a three-point shooting percentage of 36.4%, converting 8 of 22 attempts. At the free throw line, they were 23 of 35 for a 65.7% success rate. Bethune-Cookman shot 38.7% from the floor, making 24 of 62 attempts. The Tigers finished the game shooting 35.0% (21 of 60) from the field and managed to hit 5 of their 23 three-point attempts (21.7%). They capitalized on 22 free throw attempts, converting at a rate of 75.9%. Bethune-Cookman committed 17 fouls during this matchup, allowing the Tigers plenty of opportunities at the charity stripe. Texas Southern recorded 11 turnovers while making 6 steals and gathered a total of 35 rebounds (25 defensive, 10 offensive).

Bryce Roberts was significant for the Tigers, contributing 16 points during his 43 minutes on the court and adding 1 assist. He converted 5 of 12 field goals, achieving a shooting efficiency of 41.7%, but did not secure any rebounds.

The Texas Southern Tigers currently have a record of 7-15 this season. Offensively, they are hitting 44.6% from the field, ranking 222nd in the nation. Texas Southern has scored a total of 1,634 points this season, averaging 74.3 points per game while grabbing 34.6 rebounds on average. Their assist average stands at 10.4 per game, placing them 358th in college basketball, and they commit 14.0 turnovers per game. The Tigers are averaging 20.0 fouls per contest, connecting on 71.0% of their free throw attempts.

Defensively, Texas Southern allows opponents to shoot 33.5% from three-point range (180 of 537) while the opposition converts 71.4% of free throws. They give up an average of 14.2 assists and 36.0 rebounds per game, ranking 246th and 270th nationally, respectively. The Tigers are 322nd in the nation for points allowed per game, giving up 79.6. They force an average of 12.5 turnovers and allow opponents a field goal percentage of 45.1% (ranking 251st in college basketball).

Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA match against the spread?

Prediction: Back Texas Southern

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Pick: Texas Southern Tigers Forecast
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