Southern Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats Preview, 12/10/2025 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Southern Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats Preview, 12/10/2025 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Southern Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats
  • Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025
  • Venue: Strahan Arena, University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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Set to unfold at Strahan Arena, the Texas State Bobcats (6-5) will host the Southern Jaguars (4-5) on Wednesday.

NCAA Basketball Predictions, Mark Drone, Texas State Bobcats Odds

In their last appearance, the Southern Jaguars faced Texas and ended up falling short, with a score of 95-69. The Jaguars recorded a field goal percentage of 40.7%, converting 24 of their 59 attempts, including 5 of 12 from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, Southern finished with a shooting rate of 64.0%, making 16 of 25 attempts. They managed to collect 24 rebounds, with 10 coming from offensive play, and distributed 10 assists while forcing 13 turnovers and achieving 7 steals. Defensively, they allowed their opponents to shoot an impressive 56.9% from the floor, as Texas made 29 of 51 attempts. The Longhorns also tallied 17 assists and 5 steals during this match. Texas ended the game with a solid 90.6% from the charity stripe, hitting 29 of 32 attempts, alongside 8 successful three-point shots out of 20 tries. Foul counts remained close, with the Jaguars committing 24 fouls and Texas 23.

Malek Abdelgowad stood out during this game, scoring 17 points on a shooting accuracy of 71.4% (5 of 7) in just 18 minutes of play, although he recorded no assists.

As they come into this match, Southern holds a 4-5 record this season. The Jaguars average 89.7 points per game, ranking 21st in Division 1, while shooting an impressive 48.9% from the field. They have successfully hit 37.4% of their three-point shots (74 of 198) and are hitting 66.8% from the free-throw line. Collectively, Southern averages 38.6 rebounds per game and has totaled 157 assists, placing them 82nd nationally in assists. The team averages 13.3 turnovers and commits roughly 19.6 fouls per game.

On the defensive front, the Jaguars force an average of 17.4 turnovers per game while committing about 19.6 personal fouls. They limit their opponents to 33.0% shooting from three-point range, although they sit at 310th in Division 1 regarding points allowed per game (79.9). Opponents shoot 43.5% against them (241 of 554) while the Jaguars allow 36.4 rebounds per game. They rank 241st in college basketball for assists allowed, having conceded 135 this season.

In their previous outing, the Texas State Bobcats faced off against Rice and suffered a narrow defeat, finishing 77-72. Texas State secured a total of 34 rebounds, combining 22 defensive and 12 offensive boards. With 9 turnovers, they managed to record 8 steals during the match. Rice committed 19 fouls, providing Texas State with 19 free-throw opportunities, of which they converted 14 for a percentage of 73.7%. From long range, Texas State made 4 of 13 attempts (30.8%). Overall, they shot 42.9% from the floor, going 27 of 63. Conversely, they allowed Rice to score 24 of 55 field-goal attempts, leading to a shooting percentage of 43.6% for the game. Texas State’s three-point shooting was at 26.9%, converting 7 of their 26 attempts and finishing 22 of 29 at the free-throw line (75.9%). On the boards, they allowed Rice to accumulate 34 rebounds overall, including 12 offensive rebounds.

Mark Drone was notable in the matchup, scoring 23 points on 50.0% shooting (8 of 16) in 27 minutes, contributing 2 rebounds and 1 assist.

The Bobcats have an overall record of 6-5 this season. They commit an average of 17.6 fouls per game and shoot 72.9% from the free-throw line. As for assists, they average 13.4 per game (ranked 254th in Division 1), and they turn over the ball 14.0 times per contest. So far this season, Texas State has accumulated 809 points (73.5 per game) and collects 38.6 rebounds per game. Offensively, they connect on 47.0% of their field-goal attempts, placing them 109th in college basketball.

Defensively, Texas State allows 32.9% shooting from beyond the arc (73 of 222), with opponents converting 67.7% of their free-throw attempts. They permit 10.8 assists and 30.4 rebounds per game, ranking them 43rd and 29th in college. In terms of points allowed per game, the Bobcats rank 38th in Division 1, letting up only 65.5. They force 14.1 turnovers per game while allowing opponents to shoot 41.0% from the field (86th in college hoops).

Who will take the victory in tonight’s NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Texas State

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Pick: Texas State Bobcats
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