Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
Event Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: St. Louis (+120) Cincinnati (-144)
This Friday, the Cincinnati Reds (68-66) will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (65-69) at the Great American Ball Park. The betting odds favor St. Louis at +120, while Cincinnati is positioned at -144. The total runs expected for this game has been pegged at 8.5. Pitching for each team are Matthew Liberatore for the Cardinals and Zack Littell for the Reds.
The Cardinals have achieved 220 doubles and hit 126 home runs collectively this season. With a slugging percentage of .383, their batting lineup has struck out 1,059 times and received 405 walks. As a cohesive unit, the St. Louis Cardinals are putting up 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 16th in Major League Baseball. They have recorded 556 RBIs and amassed 1,116 hits, boasting a team batting average of .248 and a total of 584 runs scored, along with an on-base percentage of .317.
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With a K/BB ratio of 2.68, the Cardinal pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.31. Over the season, Cardinals pitchers have conceded 135 home runs and a total of 621 runs (ranking 23rd in MLB). They have recorded 1,173 hits (an average of 8.9 per 9 innings) along with 566 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.31 (21st in baseball). The pitching staff has struck out 990 batters while issuing 370 walks, and their FIP stands at 3.97.
The relief team for the Cardinals has entered games with runners on base 126 times and appeared in 123 critical situations. This bullpen has earned 74 holds this season (14th in MLB) and possesses a save rate of 64.0%, having had 127 save opportunities with 32 successful saves and 18 blown saves. Furthermore, they have inherited 176 baserunners this year, allowing 33.5% to score. Overall, the Cardinals have used 395 relief pitchers in total.
This season, the Cardinals have converted 69.1% of the balls put in play into outs in their 10,644 innings, ranking them 23rd in professional baseball. Thus far, the St. Louis Cardinals have achieved 3,548 putouts, 1,287 assists, and committed 66 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987, placing them 15th overall. They’ve successfully executed 103 double plays.
Matthew Liberatore has pitched 308 innings in his career, striking out 248 batters with an ERA of 4.70 (allowing 161 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.372. He has given up 320 hits (averaging 9.3 hits per nine innings) while issuing 103 walks. Liberatore holds a career record of 14-23 and has faced 1,333 batters in Major League Baseball, with a FIP of 4.63.
The Reds have posted a slugging percentage of .388, averaging 4.46 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have recorded 212 doubles, issued 435 walks, and scored 597 runs. Cincinnati has hit 130 home runs this season and gathered 562 RBIs. They have been struck out 1,165 times (7th in MLB) and accumulated 1,107 total hits. Their team on-base percentage rests at .316, while their season batting average is .246.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has allowed 563 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.85 (506 earned runs). They have yielded 150 home runs and an average of 4.28 runs per 9 innings (ranking 14th in the league). The Reds possess a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 4.05. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50, with 1,125 strikeouts and 418 walks, ranking them 7th in the league for hits allowed, totaling 1,050.
Cincinnati’s bullpen pitchers have taken the mound in 50 save opportunities, converting 31 into saves. With a save rate of 62.0%, they rank 19th in Major League Baseball and have mobilized 457 relievers this season. The bullpen has encountered high-pressure situations 135 times and has had runners on base 123 times. Their inherited runners score rate stands at 32.1% out of 184.
The Cincinnati Reds have successfully turned 85 double plays this season, holding a fielding percentage of .984 (26th in professional baseball). With 1,024 assists and 76 errors, they have also recorded 3,554 putouts this year. Across 10,662 innings, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.8%, ranking them 8th in the majors.
In his professional career, Zack Littell has surrendered 571 hits while accumulating 472 strikeouts in 570 innings of play. He has allowed 243 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.230 and a FIP of 3.80. Littell has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and has faced 2,383 batters in Major League Baseball, holding a career win-loss record of 33-29 with a 3.84 earned run average and allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on St. Louis (+120)
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