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Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
Game Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcasting on: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Point Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (+102) vs Cincinnati Reds (-122)
This Saturday, the Cincinnati Reds (68-66) will host the St. Louis Cardinals (65-69) at Great American Ball Park. The moneyline for this matchup lists the Cardinals at +102 while the Reds are favored at -122. The total runs for the game are set at 8.5, with Michael McGreevy and Andrew Abbott expected to take the mound.
The St. Louis Cardinals have been averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 16th overall in the league. They have scored a total of 584 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .317. As a collective, the Cardinals have hit 220 doubles and 126 home runs, recorded 556 runs batted in (RBIs), and accumulated 1,116 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .248. With a slugging percentage of .383, the team has struck out 1,059 times while drawing 405 walks.
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In terms of pitching, the Cardinals boast a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and a team WHIP of 1.31. This season, their pitchers have allowed 135 home runs and 621 total runs (23rd in the league). St. Louis has given up 1,173 hits (8.9 per nine innings) and 566 earned runs. Overall, they have maintained a team ERA of 4.31 (21st in MLB) and accrued 990 strikeouts. The Cardinals’ pitching staff has walked 370 batters and has a collective FIP of 3.97 this season.
So far, the Cardinals’ bullpen has sent 395 relievers to the mound, inheriting 176 runners, with 33.5% of them scoring. They’ve registered 32 saves out of 50 save opportunities, marking a 64.0% save rate. With 127 save situations, their bullpen has recorded 74 holds (14th in the league) and has faced runners on base 126 times, including 123 high-leverage appearances.
This season, the Cardinals have notched 3,548 putouts, alongside 1,287 assists and 66 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .987—ranking 15th in professional baseball. They have executed 103 double plays, converting 69.1% of balls in play into outs, which positions them 23rd in MLB.
Pitcher McGreevy has contributed 86 innings, striking out 58 during his MLB career. With a career record of 8-2, he holds a FIP of 3.71, having faced 346 batters. His earned run average stands at 3.77 (allowing 36 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.081 and 82 hits allowed (8.6 hits per nine innings) alongside 11 walks.
The Cincinnati Reds have smashed 130 home runs this season along with a total of 562 RBIs. They have hit 212 doubles, achieved 435 walks, and scored 597 runs. The Reds have a team OBP of .316 and a batting average of .246. With a slugging percentage of .388, they are averaging 4.46 runs per game (15th in MLB). They’ve struck out 1,165 times (7th in the league) and secured a total of 1,107 hits.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 4.05 this season, allowing just 1,050 hits—ranking them 7th in MLB. Their overall ERA stands at 3.85 (506 earned runs allowed), having given up 563 runs. The Reds maintain a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,125 strikeouts vs. 418 walks) and have surrendered 150 home runs while allowing 4.28 runs per nine innings (14th in the league).
The Reds have amassed 83 holds with 135 save situations, encountering 50 save opportunities and recording 31 saves. Their relief pitchers have appeared in high-leverage situations 135 times and faced base runners on 123 occasions. The inherited score percentage for Cincinnati’s relief pitchers is 32.1% of the 184 inherited runners, ranking them 19th in the league with a save rate of 62.0%, deploying 457 relievers this season.
Defensively, the Reds have turned 85 double plays while maintaining a fielding percentage of .984 (26th in professional baseball). They have achieved 1,024 assists, committed 76 errors, and recorded a total of 3,554 putouts. In 10,662 innings played, their defensive efficiency is currently 70.8% (8th in the league).
Throughout his career, Abbott has allowed 340 hits while accumulating 352 strikeouts over 381 innings. With a win-loss record of 26-20, he has a 3.38 ERA and has given up 8.0 hits per nine innings. Abbott has surrendered 143 earned runs, earning a WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.69, having faced 1,589 batters during his MLB career.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back St. Louis (+102)
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