Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres
Event Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcasting: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: St. Louis (+172) San Diego (-210)
This Sunday, the St. Louis Cardinals (55-55) will face off against the San Diego Padres (60-49) at Petco Park. The spread for this match highlights the Cardinals at +172 while the Padres open at -210. The total runs set for this game is 9, with Andre Pallante and Dylan Cease taking the mound.
The St. Louis Cardinals are scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 14th in the league. They have collectively reached 483 runs, maintaining a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .320. The Cardinals have also hit 195 doubles and have successfully cleared the outfield fence 105 times this season. With a total of 461 RBIs and 924 hits, their team batting average stands at .250. They have a slugging percentage of .389 and have struck out 840 times while drawing 346 walks.
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St. Louis’s pitchers have achieved a K/BB ratio of 2.78, with an aggregate WHIP of 1.28. The Cardinals’ mound staff has allowed 104 home runs and 492 earned runs, ranking 21st in the league. The total number of hits conceded this season stands at 961, averaging 8.9 hits per 9 innings. Their current ERA is 4.17 (19th in the league), with a striking total of 800 batters dealt with throughout the year. They are averaging 288 walks, and their FIP comes in at 3.82 for the season.
The team has called upon 329 relief pitchers this year. Out of 144 inherited runners, 31.9% have scored. They have achieved 26 saves this season but failed in 14 of 40 save opportunities, leading to a save rate of 65.0%. These pitchers have seen 106 save situations, recording a total of 63 holds this season, ranking 13th in MLB. The Cardinals’ relief has entered games with runners on 106 occasions, including high-pressure scenarios.
This season, the St. Louis Cardinals have accomplished 2,918 putouts, 1,059 assists, and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is .989, putting them 5th in MLB, while recording 83 double plays. They convert 69.4% of balls in play into outs across 8,754 innings, ranking 20th in the league.
Pallante, with a career record of 24-21, holds a FIP of 3.96 and has faced 1,765 batters throughout his major league career. He has permitted 415 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) while tallying 155 walks. His earned run average (ERA) is 4.02 (185 earned runs allowed), and his career WHIP is 1.376. Spanning 414 innings on the mound, he has recorded 286 strikeouts.
The San Diego Padres have accumulated 92 home runs and 417 RBIs this season. They boast 168 doubles while having drawn 344 walks and scored a total of 445 runs. With a team OBP of .318 and a batting average of .250, their slugging percentage sits at .380, as they average 4.08 runs per game (24th in the league). The Padres have struck out 767 times, ranking 28th in the league, with a total of 911 hits in the season.
San Diego’s WHIP stands at 1.216, and their pitching staff has a FIP of 3.87 this season. They lead the league in total hits allowed with 812. For the season, the Padres have surrendered 413 runs, culminating in a 3.55 ERA (379 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.60 (921 strikeouts to 358 walks), and they’ve allowed 106 home runs, yielding 3.86 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).
Throughout the current season, the Padres have summoned their bullpen for 49 save situations, converting 36 into saves, ranking 2nd in MLB with a 73.5% save rate. They have utilized 382 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has seen involvement in high-leverage scenarios 156 times and has factored in 129 situations with runners on base, holding an inherited score percentage of 28.7% for 181 runners. In 127 save situations, San Diego has recorded 75 holds accompanied by 13 blown saves.
The San Diego Padres have recorded 80 double plays this season, achieving a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). They collectively have 828 assists, 52 errors, and a total of 2,886 putouts for the year. Across 8,658 innings in the field, their defensive efficiency stands at 71.5%, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball.
Cease, in his career, has given up 813 hits while amassing 1,169 strikeouts across 965 innings. He has allowed 416 earned runs, carrying a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.88, and he has matched up against 4,093 batters in his MLB journey. With a career record of 60-56, Cease holds an ERA of 3.88, permitting 7.6 hits every nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back San Diego (-210)
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