🏒 Series Status

Florida stormed back with a dominant 6–1 win in Game 3 to go up 2–1 in Sun­rise — a statement game peppered with physicality, penalties, and early scoring from Brad Marchand.

📊 BetMGM Odds Breakdown

• Moneyline: Panthers –150, Oilers +125
• Series Futures: Oilers long shot at +200 to repeat as champs (33% implied win)
• Total Goals: Under 6.5 available at around –120 (live markets)

🎯 Our Pick

✅ Oilers Moneyline (+125)

Edmonton’s resilience has been proven all postseason, and they refuse to go quietly. In Game 3 they responded late after a brutal start.

🧠 Key Factors Behind This Play

• Blue-line backbone: Jake Walman’s emergence adds crucial blocked shots, minutes, and grit to counter Florida’s physical forecheck.
• Home ice bounce: Panthers’ coach Paul Maurice knows better than anyone—even if Game 3 was wild, Game 4 “starts at zeros”.
• McDavid & Draisaitl load up: Edmonton’s stars have combined for 51 points in the playoffs—if they get going early, this is still their team.
• Florida’s Game 3 was abnormal: The 6–1 win featured 140 penalty minutes and a flurry of early goals—expect more structure and less chaos this time .
• Value on the board: The +125 on Edmonton’s ML implies just a 44% chance—too low for a veteran squad with backs against the wall .

📈 Betting Strategy

– Lock in **Oilers ML +125** early before public inflates lines on Florida.
– Consider a small prop around **under 6.5 goals**—Game 3 was an anomaly, this one stays tighter.
– Keep an eye on **puck-line**; if Edmonton evens, look for +1.5 coverage at great value.

Predicted score: Panthers 3 – Oilers 4