Steve Erceg vs Ode Osbourne Fight Predictions, UFC Vegas 109 Odds for 08/09/2025

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Steve Erceg vs Ode Osbourne

UFC Vegas 109

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 9, 2025

On Saturday, August 9, 2025, Steve Erceg is set to face Ode Osbourne in the Octagon at UFC Vegas 109. The betting odds open with Erceg at -600 and Osbourne at +425.

Steve Erceg vs Ode Osbourne

UFC Vegas 109

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 9, 2025

On Saturday, August 9, 2025, Steve Erceg is set to enter the Octagon against Ode Osbourne at UFC Vegas 109. The opening betting odds place Erceg at -600, while Osbourne is listed at +425.

Steve “Astroboy” Erceg boasts a professional record of 12 wins and 4 losses, fighting at 125 lbs with a height of 5’8″ and a reach of 68 inches. In contrast, Ode “The Jamaican Sensation” Osbourne stands at 5’7″, weighs the same at 125 lbs, and has a professional record of 13-8-0 (1 NC). At 33 years old, Osbourne has a reach of 73 inches. In terms of striking statistics, Erceg averages 4.45 significant strikes landed per minute, while Osbourne lands 3.20. Erceg has an accuracy rate of 46%, compared to Osbourne’s 40%. On the defense front, Erceg absorbs 4.03 significant strikes per minute and defends 52% of attacks, whereas Osbourne absorbs 3.82 strikes and successfully defends 46% of incoming strikes.

UFC predictions Steve Erceg best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 109 Steve Erceg Ode Osbourne
Opening Odds -600 +425
Record 12-4-0 13-8-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 14:55 6:46
Height 5’8″ 5’7″
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 68″ 73″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.45 3.20
Striking Accuracy 46% 40%

In terms of grappling, Steve Erceg is less proficient, achieving takedowns at a rate of 0.84 times per 3 rounds, finishing only 26% of these attempts while successfully defending against 63% of takedown attempts. In contrast, Osbourne completes takedowns on 28% of his attempts and defends 65% of takedowns against him. Regarding submissions, Erceg averages 0.3 attempts per 3 rounds, whereas Osbourne targets 0.6 submissions every 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Steve Erceg faced off against Brandon Moreno, ultimately losing by unanimous decision in round 5. Moreno connected on 95 of 182 strikes throughout the fight while Erceg landed 119 out of 282 strikes. In significant strikes, Moreno’s landing percentage was 50%, successfully hitting 59 of 138 targeted at the head. Erceg managed to connect on 41% of his significant strikes, successfully hitting 116 out of 279, with a notable 90 of those aimed at the head. Both fighters predominantly engaged at a distance, with 97% of Moreno’s strikes and 99% of Erceg’s being launched from a distance.

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In Ode Osbourne’s latest Octagon appearance, he secured a win against Luis Gurule via a head punch in round 2. Gurule achieved 91% of his significant strikes at distance, while Osbourne landed 77% of his significant strikes in the same area. Osbourne finished with 41% accuracy, successfully landing 18 out of 43 total significant strikes, including 11 out of 33 aimed at the head. Gurule, for his part, connected on 12 of 34 significant strikes thrown. Osbourne showcased solid striking accuracy, landing 3 of 13 strikes directed at the head, while Gurule recorded 26 out of 49 overall strikes.

Notable Fights on the Card

Another exciting matchup to watch is between Andre Fili and Christian Rodriguez. Fili enters the Octagon with a record of 24-12-0 (1 NC), weighing 145 lbs and standing 5’11” with a reach of 74 inches. Rodriguez stands at 5’7″, also weighing 145 lbs, and comes in with a record of 12-3-0. Fili achieves 2.17 takedowns per 3 rounds, whereas Rodriguez manages 1.84. Fili lands an average of 3.84 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 37%, while Rodriguez hits 50% of his attempted strikes, landing 3.63 per minute.

Another key match to follow is between Jean Matsumoto and Miles Johns. Johns enters the fight with a record of 15-3-0 (1 NC), weighing in at 135 lbs and measuring 5’7″ with a reach of 66 inches. Matsumoto, on the other hand, stands at 5’6″, weighing 135 lbs and looks to improve his impressive record of 16-1-0. In grappling, Johns stops 81% of takedown attempts against him and attempts takedowns on 20% of his efforts, while Matsumoto succeeds in 47% of his takedown attempts and defends against 57%. In striking, Johns averages 2.65 strikes absorbed per minute while landing 3.16 per minute, contrasting with Matsumoto, who takes 5.40 strikes per minute and connects on 5.18.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC clash against the spread?

Tony Sink’s Pick: Back Ode Osbourne (+425)

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