Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Predictions, UFC Shanghai Odds for 08/23/2025

Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas

UFC Shanghai

Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China

Saturday, August 23, 2025

On Saturday, August 23, 2025, Sumudaerji is set to clash with Kevin Borjas in the Octagon during UFC Shanghai. The betting odds list Sumudaerji at -165 while Borjas is positioned at +145.

Sumudaerji boasts a professional record of 17 wins and 7 losses (17-7-0). At 29 years old, he weighs 125 lbs and stands 5’8″ tall, utilizing a southpaw stance and having a reach of 72 inches. In contrast, Kevin “El Gallo Negro” Borjas, 27 years old, measures in at 5’5″ and weighs 126 lbs, competing in the orthodox stance with a fight record of 10 wins and 3 losses (10-3-0). With a wingspan of 68 inches, Borjas averages 5.10 significant strikes landed per minute compared to Sumudaerji’s 4.40. Sumudaerji has a striking accuracy of 51%, while Borjas lands 44% of his attempts. Defensively, Sumudaerji absorbs 2.63 significant strikes per minute, whereas Borjas allows 5.99. Sumudaerji successfully defends against 60% of opponent strikes, while Borjas deflects 51%.

When it comes to grappling, Sumudaerji displays less proficiency, achieving a takedown approximately 0.18 times every three rounds. He successfully executes 25% of his takedown attempts while defending against 67%. Conversely, Borjas finishes just 10% of his takedown tries and defends 65% of attempts against him. In submissions, Sumudaerji averages 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes, outperforming Borjas, who averages 0.3 per three rounds.

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In his last bout, Sumudaerji faced Mitch Raposo, securing victory by split decision in the final round. In this fight, Raposo landed 13 out of 30 total strikes attempted, while Sumudaerji managed to land 78 out of 150 strikes. For significant strikes, Raposo connected on 9 out of 26, achieving 34% accuracy, landing 8 out of 25 directed at the head. In contrast, Sumudaerji landed 39% of his significant strikes, connecting 45 out of 114 attempts, with 25 out of 84 aimed at the head. Notably, the majority of strikes from both fighters were executed at distance, with Raposo connecting on 88% and Sumudaerji on 86%.

Kevin Borjas’s last encounter was against Ronaldo Rodriguez, where he also won via unanimous decision in the final round. Rodriguez executed 98% of his significant strikes from a distance, while Borjas matched that with 93% of his strikes at distance. Borjas landed 58% of his attempts, totaling 83 out of 141, and struck 72 out of 129 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rodriguez managed 64 out of 151 significant strikes in the bout, with an accuracy of 31 out of 110 to the head, while Borjas totaled 84 out of 142 for all strikes.

Additional Fights to Keep an Eye On

Don’t miss the bout between Taiyilake Nueraji and Kiefer Crosbie. Nueraji, aiming to enhance his record of 11-1-0 (1 NC), is 24 years old, weighs 170 lbs, and stands 6’2″ tall with a 75-inch reach. Crosbie, at 5’11” and weighing 171 lbs, seeks to improve his 10-5-0 record at the age of 35. Nueraji averages 11.01 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 48%, while Crosbie successfully connects on 64% of his attempts at 6.27 strikes per minute.

Another noteworthy matchup is Gauge Young versus Maheshate. Maheshate, with a career record of 10-4-0, competes at 155 lbs and is 6’0″ tall, utilizing a reach of 71 inches. Young stands at 5’9″, weighs 156 lbs, and has a record of 9-3-0. Maheshate stops 45% of takedown attempts and converts 10% of his takedowns. Young matches that with 10% completion on his attempts, successfully defending against 64% of takedown efforts. When it comes to striking, Maheshate absorbs 5.64 strikes per minute landing 3.86, while Young takes 6.53 strikes per minute, landing 4.83.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC matchup?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Betting on Kevin Borjas (+145)

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