- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday, October 20, 2025
- Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
- Broadcasting: ABC
- Point Spread: Lions favored by (-4.5)
- Total Points Over/Under: 53
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The Detroit Lions (4-2) aim to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1) at Ford Field this coming Monday. Tampa Bay enters this match as underdogs by 4.5 points, with an over-under set at 53.
The Buccaneers have charted a strong season with a record of 5-1. In their previous outing, they triumphed over the San Francisco 49ers, concluding the game at 30-19. Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 17 of 23 passes for 256 yards, throwing 2 touchdowns and achieving a passer rating of 139 without any interceptions. Rachaad White was the leading rusher, compiling 65 yards on 17 carries (averaging 3.8 yards per attempt). Cade Otton was effective in the air, catching 5 passes for 51 yards, averaging 10.2 yards per reception. Overall, Tampa Bay ran the ball 26 times, accumulating 104 yards at an average of 4.0 yards per carry. They executed a total of 49 plays, amassing 352 yards. Defensively, they allowed 27 completions on 39 attempts for 296 yards, yielding a completion percentage of 69.2%. The Buccaneers held opponents to 67 yards on 22 rush attempts, averaging 3.0 yards per carry.
On the offensive side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers average 27.5 points per game this season. They rank 20th in the NFL with an average of 109.3 rushing yards, totaling 2,121 yards throughout the season. The Buccaneers have secured 67 first downs and committed 40 penalties for 337 yards. They have turned the ball over twice (one interception and one fumble), resulting in 12 passing and 5 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Buccaneers sit at 24th in the league, allowing an average of 25.2 points per game. They have faced 3.7 yards per rush and allowed 88.2 rushing yards per game. In total, they have surrendered 1,388 passing yards, ranking 22nd, with an average of 231.3 yards allowed per game and a completion rate of 68.3%. Overall, their defense is allowing 319.5 yards per game, ranking 14th in the league. They’ve given up 10 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing scores, culminating in 529 rushing yards allowed so far this season.
The Lions take to the field with a record of 4-2 this year. Their last game ended in a 30-17 loss against the Kansas City Chiefs. Quarterback Jared Goff threw for 203 yards on 23 of 29 passing, with 2 touchdowns, achieving a passer rating of 118.8 without any interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs contributed with 65 rushing yards on 17 carries, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receiving corps with 9 receptions for 45 yards (5.0 yards per catch). The Lions averaged 4.3 yards per carry, totaling 98 yards on 23 attempts. They amassed 297 total yards on 52 plays (5.7 yards per play). The defense allowed 73.3% completion on 22 out of 30 passing attempts for 243 yards, and contained the opposing rushers to 112 yards on 29 attempts (3.9 yards per rush).
In terms of scoring, the Lions rank 2nd in the league, averaging 31.8 points per game. This season, they have accrued 1,350 passing yards, averaging 225.0 passing yards per game, placing them 14th in the league. With an average of 128.7 rushing yards and a total of 772 rushing yards, the Lions average 353.7 total yards per game, placing them 11th in the NFL. The Detroit offense has incurred 36 penalties, yielding 265 yards, which ranks 25th. They have thrown 2 interceptions and committed 1 fumble, while accumulating 75 first downs.
Defensively, the Lions allow 23.7 points per game, ranking 18th in the league. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns through the air and allow 212.7 passing yards per game, which ranks 14th. The Lions also conceded 573 rushing yards (95.5 yards per game) and 5 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defensive unit has participated in 350 plays, ranking 12th in the NFL, and has forced 9 turnovers, totaling 142 points allowed.
Who will cover the spread in the Buccaneers versus Lions NFL matchup?
Prediction: Take the Lions -4.5
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