Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction for 12/9/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction for 12/9/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens
  • Event Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
  • Venue: Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
  • Broadcast: TSN2
  • Betting Odds: Lightning (-130), Canadiens (+110)

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On Tuesday, the Montreal Canadiens (15-10-3) will host the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-10-2) at the Bell Centre. The current betting odds favor Tampa Bay at -130, while Montreal stands at +110. The game total is set at 6.

NHL Picks Brandon Hagel Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions Best Bets Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning are eager to bounce back after suffering a 2-0 loss to the Islanders in their latest outing. Offensively, the Lightning struggled significantly, failing to score from 32 shots. They also missed on 2 power play opportunities and spent a total of 6 minutes on penalties.

Opponents have amassed 90 power play chances against the Lightning (ranking 11th in the league), converting 12 goals. Tampa Bay has faced 762 shots with a save percentage of .904. Their offensive efforts have resulted in 766 shots, achieving an 11.5% conversion rate. When playing at even strength, Tampa Bay has allowed 61 goals while scoring 74. They have capitalized on 88 power plays, scoring 14 times for a conversion rate of 15.91%. Overall, Tampa Bay has accumulated 34 points this season, holding a points percentage of .607. In total, they have netted 88 goals—a ranking of 12th in the NHL—while allowing 73 goals against.

In goal for this matchup is Jonas Johansson. Throughout his NHL career, Johansson has allowed 266 goals, maintaining a goals-against average of 3.37. He has participated in 90 games, achieving a save percentage of .890 over 4,263 minutes of ice time. His current record stands at 37-30-12 with 79 starts, and he has achieved 36 quality starts, resulting in a quality start percentage of .456. Johansson has faced 2,423 shots, successfully saving 2,157 of them.

The Canadiens are coming off a close game against the Blues, where they lost 4-3. Montreal failed to capitalize on 2 power play chances, registering 3 goals from 26 shots on target.

Montreal has taken 708 shots this season (ranking 30th in professional hockey) with a shooting percentage of 12.71%. They’ve allowed 763 shots against them and have a penalty kill rate of 77.53% against 89 power play opportunities. Their current save percentage is at 87.3%. The Canadiens have notched 70 goals at even strength and have succeeded in scoring 20 goals (9th in the league) on the power play. Overall, they’ve conceded 97 goals, comprised of 77 at even strength and 20 while shorthanded. This season, Montreal has recorded a total of 90 goals and 33 points, reflecting a points percentage of .589.

Expect to see Sam Montembeault in net for Montreal. Montembeault’s career record is 85-90-29 over 220 games. He boasts a quality start rate of 51.7%, with 104 quality starts. He has recorded 5,760 saves to 6,423 shots faced, equating to a save percentage of .897. His opponents have averaged 3.30 goals per game, resulting in 663 total goals conceded. Montembeault has started in 201 contests, logging a total of 10,950 minutes on the ice.

Who do you think will win tonight’s NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Take Tampa Bay (-130)

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Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning (-130)
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