- Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, December 8, 2025
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Lightning (-275) Maple Leafs (+220)
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This Monday, the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-3) will host the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-9-2) at Scotiabank Arena. The sportsbook lists the Lightning at -275, while the Maple Leafs come in at +220. The total points line is set at 6.5.
The Tampa Bay Lightning aim to bounce back after a narrow 4-3 loss to the Penguins in their last outing. In that contest, Tampa Bay committed 13 minutes in penalties and displayed a mediocre offensive effort, converting just 1 goal from 6 power play opportunities, with 3 goals sourced from 40 total shots on net.
On the offensive front, the Lightning have amassed 88 goals this season, ranking 8th overall, while allowing 71 goals against. With 34 points, they hold a points percentage of .630. Tampa Bay has had 86 chances on the power play, successfully scoring 14 times, which equates to a conversion rate of 16.28%. While at even strength, the Lightning have permitted 60 goals but have netted 74. They have attempted 734 shots, boasting a shooting percentage of 12.0%. Exposed to 743 shots totaling against them, Tampa Bay holds a solid save percentage of .904. Thus far, their opposition has earned 87 power play chances (9th in the league) and has been able to score 11 times against them.
In goal for the Lightning will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has played in 559 games, accumulating a record of 342-169-37 with 549 starts. Throughout his career, he has conceded 1,378 goals, maintaining a goals-against average of 2.51. Having faced 16,616 shots, his career save percentage sits at .917 after playing 28,667 minutes. Vasilevskiy is credited with 320 quality starts, achieving a quality start rate of .583.
In their previous game, the Toronto Maple Leafs clinched a decisive 5-1 victory over the Hurricanes. They managed 2 attempts on the power play in that match but failed to convert. Toronto executed 5 goals from 24 shots taken on goal.
Putting an average of 735 shots in this season (ranking 20th in the NHL), the Maple Leafs enjoy a shooting percentage of 12.79% while permitting 844 shots from opponents. With a penalty kill efficiency of 81.82% against 77 power play opportunities, they currently have a save percentage of 89.2%. Toronto has completed 68 power play opportunities, scoring at a rate of 14.71%. The Maple Leafs have finished with 84 even-strength goals and only 10 goals (32nd in pro hockey) during power plays. The total number of goals allowed stands at 91, made up of 77 even-strength goals and 14 while short-handed. This season, Toronto has netted 94 goals, earned 29 points, and experiences a points percentage of .537.
Joseph Woll is the anticipated starting goalie for the Maple Leafs. Averaging 2.73 goals against per game, Woll has conceded a total of 227 goals. He holds a quality start percentage of 61.4% with 51 quality starts in his career. He has appeared in 86 games, playing 4,152 minutes. With a career record of 52-30-3, Woll has stopped 2,337 out of 2,564 shots, yielding a .911 save percentage.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Tampa Bay (-275)
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