- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles
- Scheduled Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcasting On: MASN
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (-150) Baltimore (+125)
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On Thursday, the Baltimore Orioles (74-83) aim to overcome the Tampa Bay Rays (76-81) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The current moneyline features Tampa Bay at -150, while Baltimore holds a position at +125. The game total is set at 9 runs. Drew Rasmussen and Cade Povich are the starting pitchers for this encounter.
The Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 16th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 696 runs with an on-base percentage of .313. The Rays have recorded 235 doubles and launched 177 home runs this season. They have accumulated 663 RBIs with 1,326 hits, maintaining a batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage stands at .401, with 1,346 strikeouts and 452 walks recorded.
The Rays’ pitching staff has recorded a team earned run average (ERA) of 3.86 this season, ranking 9th in MLB, with 1,369 strikeouts. They have allowed 196 home runs and 653 runs, posting a team ERA that ranks 10th. The pitchers have issued 455 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.13 for the year. Tampa Bay has permitted 1,232 hits (averaging 8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 597 earned runs, along with a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.21.
The bullpen has a save percentage of 55.6%, having entered 153 save situations this season. They’ve inherited 161 runners, of which 31.1% have scored. The Rays’ relief pitchers have faced runners in 109 instances and have made 154 appearances in high-pressure scenarios. Overall, 504 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Rays this year, with the bullpen collecting 87 holds (16th in MLB). They’ve achieved 35 saves against 28 blown save opportunities.
The Rays convert 70.6% of balls in play into outs over their 12,513 defensive innings, positioning them 9th in MLB. This year, the Tampa Bay Rays have tallied a total of 4,171 putouts, 1,380 assists, and 77 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986, which ranks 14th in the majors, including 142 double plays executed.
Drew Rasmussen has pitched for 457 innings, accumulating 425 strikeouts during his professional career. With a career record of 30-17, he possesses a FIP of 2.87 and has faced 1,829 batters in the majors. His ERA is 2.91 (allowing 148 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.065. He has surrendered 370 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 117 walks.
The Baltimore Orioles have recorded a team batting average of .237 with an on-base percentage of .305 this season. With 1,406 strikeouts (ranking 4th in the league), they’ve registered 1,246 hits. Baltimore has hit 183 home runs this season, contributing to 629 RBIs. Their collective slugging percentage is .395, and they average 4.22 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have 248 doubles, drawn 464 walks, and scored 662 runs.
This season, the Orioles’ pitching staff has allowed 760 runs with a team ERA of 4.58 (707 earned runs given up). They have yielded 207 homers and allow 4.92 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). With a WHIP of 1.362 and a FIP of 4.40, the Orioles’ K/BB ratio stands at 8.50 (1,308 strikeouts compared to 509 walks). They currently rank 25th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,385.
The Orioles have 105 holds and 20 blown saves from 167 save situations. Their relievers have been called upon in 58 save opportunities, converting 38 saves. They have faced high-leverage situations 167 times, including 151 instances with runners on base. Baltimore’s relief pitchers have inherited 210 runners, with 26.7% scoring, achieving a save rate of 65.5%, which ranks 8th in MLB.
Defensively, the Orioles have managed a conversion efficiency of 68.5% across 12,516 innings (26th in the majors). They have executed 117 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). They’ve recorded 1,371 assists, committed 85 errors, and achieved 4,172 putouts in this season.
Cade Povich has allowed 195 hits over 185 innings, striking out 183 batters during his pro career. With a 6-17 career record, he carries a 5.15 ERA and gives up 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 106 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.456 and a FIP of 5.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.44, and he has faced 814 batters in his career.
Which team will secure victory in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Baltimore (+125)
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